Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 5/3/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Monday, May 3, 2021

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: ESPN+

Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (33-15-3) head to Wells Fargo Center on Monday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Flyers (22-21-7).

The Penguins came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 5-4 win against the Capitals in their last outing. The Penguins had a good offensive performance in the win. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 5 of the 35 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 3 power play attempts but weren't able to make the most of them. Pittsburgh tallied 6 minutes in the box for this game. The Corsi for the Penguins was sitting at 57 and the Corsi against was 54 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 51.4%. Their Fenwick was 46 and the Fenwick Against sat at 40, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 53.5%. They tallied 30 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 32 opportunities to win the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they sat at 48.8% and they had a PDO of 105.0 for this game.

When discussing scoring goals, the Pittsburgh Penguins have accumulated 172 goals (2nd in the NHL) this season and have allowed 141. For the current campaign, the have a total of 69 points and their points percentage comes in at .676. Pittsburgh has accumulated 140 power play opportunities and they have added 31 goals out of those tries, earning them a rate of 22.14%. While at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 108 goals while scoring 141 on offense. Pittsburgh has tried 1,533 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.2%. The Penguins have had 1,525 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .908. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have totaled 147 power play opportunities (19th in hockey) and have come away with 33 goals in those chances.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Tristan Jarry. Jarry has taken the ice for 97 games throughout his professional hockey career. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 56-29-7 and he started in 92 games. Opponents have been able to score 242 goals against Jarry in his professional hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.66. Jarry has seen 2,772 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,530 total saves. He has a save percentage of .913 for his 5,455 mins on the ice. For his professional hockey career, Jarry has accumulated 54 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .587.

In their last contest, Philadelphia played the Devils in a matchup where the Flyers were on the wrong end of the score by a mark of 5-3. They had 2 chances on the power play in this outing and recorded 1 out of those opportunities. The Flyers scored 3 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they pursued. They had a PDO of 83 and they had an oZS percentage of 55.6%. Philadelphia earned a 59.5% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Philadelphia had and you might say they looked run of the mill in this one. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 59.6% by amassing a Fenwick of 34 and the Devils ending the game with a 23 Fenwick.

For the year, the Philadelphia Flyers have accounted for 140 goals, 51 points, in addition to a points percentage of .510. They have allowed 178 goals to be scored by way of 137 goals at even strength and 41 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Flyers are sitting with 110 goals at even strength and 30 goals (17th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have a tally of 153 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 19.61%. Philadelphia has taken 1,493 shots (14th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.38%, while allowing their opponents 1,452 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 72.85% on their oppositions 151 tries on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 87.7%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Alex Lyon between the pipes. Lyon has accumulated a career mark of 5-7-1 and has participated in 20 games. Lyon's quality start percentage comes in at 23.1% and he has earned 3 quality starts in his pro career. He has compiled 378 stops out of the 428 shots tried, giving him a save % of .883. His opponents are averaging 3.39 goals per contest and he has surrendered 50 goals altogether. He has been a starter 13 games and has accumulated 886 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh

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