Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction, 5/26/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders

Date: Wednesday, May 26, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-122) Islanders (-101)

Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (37-16-3) are headed to Barclays Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Islanders (32-17-7) in Game 6 of their series. New York leads 3-2. The Penguins open this matchup at -122 while the Islanders are coming in at -101. The total is set at 5.5.

The Penguins will need a bounce back game after taking a 3-2 defeat against the Islanders in Game 5. The offensive zone starts for them sat at 51.4% and their PDO rating was 91.2 in this one. They had a tally of 30 face-off victories when at even strength and lost on 27 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 66 and the Fenwick against finished at 33, giving them a Fenwick rate of 66.7%. The Corsi for the Penguins came in at 78 and the Corsi against was 41 which means they had a Corsi rate of 65.5%. Pittsburgh had 4 mins in the box in this outing. They also had 2 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. The Penguins left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. For the matchup, they finished 2 out of the 50 shots they looked to score on.

The Penguins have had 1,679 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .908. When playing at even strength, the Penguins have allowed the opponent to score 120 goals while having 157 on offense. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have tallied 155 power play tries (20th in professional hockey) and have come away with 35 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they have tallied 77 points and their points percentage sits at .688. Pittsburgh has tried 1,684 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.5%. Pertaining to their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have accumulated 193 goals (2nd in the National Hockey League) on the year and have given up 155. Pittsburgh has accounted for 152 power play chances and they have scored 36 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 23.68%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Tristan Jarry. Jarry has participated in 101 matchups during his hockey career. He has earned an overall mark of 59-29-7 and he has started in 95 games. The opposition has racked up 251 goals versus Jarry in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.66. Jarry has seen 2,859 shots taken against him and has gathered 2,608 total saves. His save percentage is at .912 in his 5,654 minutes guarding the cage. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Jarry has compiled 58 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .611.

In their Game 5 win, the Islanders had 2 power play attempts in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Islanders converted 3 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they took. They had a PDO of 109 and their oZS percentage was 48.6%. New York went home with a 34.5% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game New York had and you can say they had a mediocre outing. Their Fenwick percentage was 33.3% by way of having a Fenwick of 33 and the Penguins finishing with a 66 Fenwick at even strength.

The Islanders have accumulated 125 goals at even strength and 27 goals (24th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. New York has attempted 1,623 shots (22nd in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.37%, while allowing their opponents 1,590 shots. So far this season, the New York Islanders have accumulated 152 goals, 71 points, and a points percentage of .634. They have earned 144 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 18.75%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.70% on their oppositions 135 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 92.1%. They have permitted 125 goals to be scored by of a combination of 103 goals at even strength and 22 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are expected to see Semyon Varlamov in the crease. Varlamov is the owner of a lifetime mark of 251-194-60 and has played in 529 games. Varlamov's percentage of quality starts sits at 56.6% and he has accumulated 286 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has a tally of 14,532 stops out of 15,859 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .916. His opponents are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has allowed 1,327 goals altogether. He has started in 505 games and has played 30,305 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-122)

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