Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction, 2/6/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders

Date: Saturday, February 6, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+105) Islanders (-125)

Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (3-4-2) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (5-4-1) at Barclays Center on Saturday. The Islanders open this game at -125 while the Penguins are coming in at +105. The total is set at 5.5.

The Penguins will need a bounce back game after taking a 3-1 loss to the Rangers in their previous contest. The Corsi for the Penguins came in at 41 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 31 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 56.9%. The offensive zone starts for them sat at 58.8% and they had a PDO at even strength of 93.1 for this one. Pittsburgh had 17 penalty minutes for this game. The Penguins had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the loss. Their Fenwick came in at 27 and the Fenwick against finished at 22, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 55.1%. They garnered 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 9 opportunities to control the puck. In addition, they had 6 chances on the power play but weren't able to score. For the matchup, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 26 shots they attempted.

The Penguins have had 270 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .863. While playing at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 26 goals while scoring 22 of their own. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have earned 35 power play tries (17th in pro hockey) and have earned 9 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have scored 11 points and their points percentage is .550. Pittsburgh has taken 282 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.9%. When discussing scoring goals, the Pittsburgh Penguins have racked up 28 goals (17th in the National Hockey League) on the season and have surrendered 37. Pittsburgh has 36 power play chances and they have notched 5 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 13.89%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Tristan Jarry. Jarry has played in 68 games throughout his hockey career. He has compiled a win-loss record of 36-23-5 and he has started in 63 games. Opponents have racked up 172 goals against Jarry in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.72. Jarry has had 1,908 shot attempts against him and has accrued 1,736 saves. His save percentage currently sits at .910 during his 3,790 mins between the pipes. In his career, Jarry has accumulated 37 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .587.

When they were on the ice last, New York faced the Flyers in an outing where the Islanders ended up losing by a score of 4-3. Their PDO was 96 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 74.7%. They had 6 power play opportunities in this outing and converted 1 out of those attempts. Their Fenwick percentage was 46.9% by earning a Fenwick of 30 and the Flyers having accrued a 34 Fenwick at even strength. The Islanders netted 3 goals out of the 36 shots on goal they were seeking. New York wound up with a 44.3% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game New York had and you might say they have had worse games.

On the season, the New York Islanders have earned a total of 19 goals, 8 points, and a points percentage of .444. They have permitted 24 goals to be scored by of a combination of 18 goals at even strength and 6 goals while they were shorthanded. The Islanders are sitting with 13 goals at even strength and 6 goals (22nd in the league) while on the power play. They have recorded 38 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 15.79%. New York has put up 264 shots (24th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 7.20%, while allowing their opponents 244 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 77.78% on their opponents 27 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 7.2%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Semyon Varlamov defending the goal. His opposition is averaging 2.66 goals/game and he has surrendered 1,267 goals in total. Varlamov's quality start percentage sits at 55.5% and he has accumulated 264 quality starting assignments in his career. He got the starting nod in 476 games and has played for a total of 28,548 minutes. Varlamov has a career mark of 235-185-57 and has been in net for 499 games. He has a tally of 13,730 saves out of the 14,997 shots attempted against him, which gives him a rate of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take New York (-125)

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