Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction, 2/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders

Date: Sunday, February 28, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-120) Islanders (+100)

Barclays Center is the site where Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (10-6-3) will play the Pittsburgh Penguins (10-7-1) on Sunday. The Penguins open this matchup at -120 while the Islanders are priced at +100. The over/under is set at 45.

The Penguins had a rough game after their 5-2 loss against the Capitals in their previous outing. The Penguins left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. In the matchup, they netted 2 out of the 28 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 4 power play attempts but weren't able to score. Pittsburgh garnered 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Penguins was sitting at 37 and the Corsi against was 57 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 39.4%. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against was 41, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 45.3%. They accounted for 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 27 opportunities to win the face-off. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 33.3% and their PDO was 91.4 in this one.

In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Pittsburgh Penguins have racked up 53 goals (18th in pro hockey) for the season and have conceded 60. For the current season, the have a total of 21 points and their points percentage comes in at .583. Pittsburgh skates onto the rink with 53 power play opportunities and they have tallied 8 goals out of those advantages, giving them a percentage of 15.09%. At even strength, the Penguins have conceded 46 goals while earning 45 on the offensive side of the ice. Pittsburgh has tried 533 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.9%. The Penguins have had 522 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .885. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have totaled 55 power play tries (24th in the NHL) and have a total of 14 goals in those chances.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Tristan Jarry. Throughout his time in hockey, Jarry has 42 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .600. He has a save percentage of .911 during his 4,207 mins in the crease. Jarry has seen 2,129 shot attempts against him and has garnered 1,939 saves. Opponents have been able to score 190 goals versus Jarry in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.71. He has accumulated an overall record of 40-26-5 and got the start in 70 games. Jarry has been in goal for 75 contests over the course of his NHL career.

In their last outing, New York faced off against the Bruins in an outing where the Islanders notched a win by a final score of 7-2. Their PDO was 114 and they had an oZS percentage of 43.5%. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. Their Fenwick rate came in at 46.3% by amassing a Fenwick of 37 and the Bruins having earned a 43 Fenwick at even strength. The Islanders tallied 7 goals of the 37 shots on goal they attempted. New York earned a 49.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that New York had and it was a good performance overall.

The Islanders have tallied 39 goals at even strength and 12 goals (17th in hockey) while on the power play. New York has attempted 571 shots (15th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 8.93%, while allowing their opponents 538 shots. For the season, the New York Islanders are sitting with 51 goals, 23 points, as well as a points percentage of .605. They have a tally of 54 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 22.22%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 80.85% on their oppositions 47 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 91.8%. They have allowed 44 goals to be scored by way of 35 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you are likely to see Semyon Varlamov between the pipes. Varlamov is sitting with a lifetime record of 241-187-58 and has participated in 508 games. Varlamov's quality start rate sits at 55.9% and he has made 271 quality starting assignments in his career. He has recorded 13,984 saves out of the 15,270 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .916. Opponents are averaging 2.65 goals per game and he has relinquished 1,286 goals overall. He was named a starter in 485 contests and has been on the ice for 29,091 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-120)

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