Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction, 2/27/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders

Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-105) Islanders (-111)

Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (10-7-1) go to Barclays Center on Saturday where they'll take on the New York Islanders (10-6-3). The Penguins open this contest at -105 while the Islanders are priced at -111. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Penguins will look to clean up some issues after taking a 5-2 loss to the Capitals in their last contest. The Corsi for the Penguins was sitting at 37 and the Corsi against was 57 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 39.4%. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 33.3% and they had a PDO at even strength of 91.4 in this game. Pittsburgh accumulated 8 penalty minutes in this game. The Penguins had a below average offensive performance in this loss. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against finished at 41, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 45.3%. They recorded 19 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 27 attempts to control the puck. Furthermore, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice but didn't net one. For the matchup, they converted 2 of the 28 shots they put on goal.

The Penguins have had 522 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .885. At even strength, the Penguins have allowed the opponent to score 46 goals while notching 45 as an offensive unit. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have earned 55 power play tries (23rd in the NHL) and have racked up 14 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have racked up 21 points and their points % is .583. Pittsburgh has tried 533 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.9%. When talking about scoring goals, the Pittsburgh Penguins have tallied 53 goals (16th in the league) on the campaign and have given up 60. Pittsburgh is sitting with 53 power play opportunities and they have notched 8 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 15.09%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Tristan Jarry. Over the course of his time in hockey, Jarry is sitting with 42 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .600. His save percentage is at .911 in his 4,207 mins on the ice. Jarry has seen 2,129 shots against him and has accrued 1,939 total saves. The opposition has racked up 190 goals against Jarry in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.71. He has compiled an overall record of 40-26-5 and he has gotten the start in 70 games. Jarry has taken the ice for 75 contests during his NHL career.

When they were on the ice last, New York squared up with the Bruins in an outing where the Islanders got the win by a score of 7-2. They had 2 power play opportunities in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. The Islanders scored 7 goals of the 37 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO was 114 and their percentage of oZS was 43.5%. New York went home with a 49.5% Corsi rate. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that New York played and they showed up in this game. Their Fenwick percentage was 46.3% by tallying a Fenwick of 37 and the Bruins having earned a 43 Fenwick.

New York has taken 571 shots (14th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 8.93%, while allowing their opponents 538 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 80.85% on their opponents 47 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 91.8%. They have a total of 54 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 22.22%. The Islanders have tallied 39 goals at even strength and 12 goals (17th in the league) while on the power play. They have permitted 44 goals to be scored by of a combination of 35 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the New York Islanders have a total of 51 goals, 23 points, as well as a points percentage of .605.

On the other side of the ice you will find Semyon Varlamov patrolling the crease. He has recorded 13,984 stops out of the 15,270 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .916. Varlamov has accumulated a lifetime record of 241-187-58 and has participated in 508 games. He was named a starter in 485 games and has played 29,091 mins. Varlamov's quality start rate sits at 55.9% and he has 271 quality starting assignments in his career. Opponents are averaging 2.65 goals/game and he has allowed 1,286 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-105)

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