Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction, 2/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders

Date: Thursday, February 11, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: SN360

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-105) Islanders (-111)

Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (5-4-2) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (5-5-1) at Barclays Center on Thursday. The Islanders open this matchup at -111 while the Penguins are priced at -105. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Penguins were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-3 defeat against the Islanders the last time they stepped on the ice. The Penguins played like an average offensive team in the loss. For the matchup, they scored on 3 of the 31 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 1 chance with extra men on the ice but didn't get a goal. Pittsburgh tallied 2 mins in the box in this game. The Corsi for the Penguins was sitting at 60 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 48 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 55.6%. Their Fenwick was 48 and the Fenwick against finished at 37, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 56.5%. They tallied 20 face-off victories when at even strength and lost on 22 attempts to gain puck control. The offensive zone starts for them sat at 60.7% and they had a PDO of 96.6 in this one.

The Penguins have had 296 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .861. While playing at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 29 goals while notching 25 of their own. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have 36 power play tries (24th in pro hockey) and have come away with 10 goals in those chances. For the current season, they have earned 11 points and their points percentage is .500. Pittsburgh has taken 313 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.9%. When it comes to scoring goals, the Pittsburgh Penguins have tallied 31 goals (21st in the NHL) this season and have allowed 41. Pittsburgh has 36 power play opportunities and they have tallied 5 goals out of those tries, earning them a percentage of 13.89%.

The man in goal for this game is Tristan Jarry. Jarry has been in goal for 69 contests over the course of his hockey career. He has amassed a mark of 36-24-5 and was named the starter in 64 games. Opponents have notched 176 goals versus Jarry in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.74. Jarry has had 1,934 shots taken against him and he has 1,758 saves. His save percentage currently is at .909 during his 3,849 mins between the pipes. For his career, Jarry has compiled 37 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .578.

When they were on the ice last, New York faced the Rangers in a game where the Islanders got the win by a final score of 2-0. Their PDO at even strength was 107 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 47.8%. They had 1 power play chance in this one but weren't able to score a goal. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 56.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 38 and the Rangers having racked up a 29 Fenwick. The Islanders had 2 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they tried. New York wrapped up this game with a 58.8% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that New York had and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing.

The Islanders have accumulated 18 goals at even strength and 7 goals (20th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. New York has attempted 320 shots (26th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 7.81%, while allowing their opponents 305 shots. For the season, the New York Islanders have earned 25 goals, 12 points, as well as a points percentage of .545. They have recorded 40 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 17.50%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 80.00% on their oppositions 30 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 7.8%. They have granted a total of 27 goals to be scored by way of 21 goals at even strength and 6 goals while they had less men on the ice.

On the other side of the ice you will find Semyon Varlamov protecting the net. The opposition is averaging 2.66 goals/game and he has given up 1,270 goals in total. Varlamov's rate of quality starts comes out to 55.4% and he has accumulated 265 quality starts in his career. He has been a starter 478 games and has racked up 28,668 minutes. Varlamov is the owner of a career mark of 237-185-57 and has participated in 501 games. He is sitting with 13,788 stops out of the 15,058 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-105)

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