Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 4/17/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, April 17, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-275) Sabres (+235)

Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (27-13-3) travel to KeyBank Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Buffalo Sabres (11-25-7). The line on this matchup has the Penguins coming in at -275 and the Sabres are at +235. The total is set at 6.

The Penguins will look for better times on the ice after their 2-1 loss against the Flyers in the last game they played. The Penguins didn't have their best offensive outing in the defeat. For the matchup, they scored on 1 out of the 32 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 3 attempts on the power play but didn't get a goal. Pittsburgh accounted for 6 penalty minutes in this contest. The Corsi for the Penguins was sitting at 48 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 37 which means they had a Corsi rate of 56.5%. Their Fenwick came in at 38 and the Fenwick against finished at 34, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 52.8%. They accrued 27 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 26 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 66.0% and their PDO was 99.1 for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have 128 power play tries (19th in hockey) and have earned 29 goals in those chances. The Penguins have had 1,271 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .906. Pittsburgh has attempted 1,274 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.3%. When at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 90 goals while notching 116 themselves. Pittsburgh is sitting with 125 power play opportunities and they have added 28 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 22.40%. For the current campaign, they have earned 57 points and their points percentage is .663. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Pittsburgh Penguins have notched 144 goals (5th in the league) so far this year and have given up 119.

The man in net for this game is Tristan Jarry. Opponents have been able to score 226 goals versus Jarry in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.66. Jarry has taken the ice for 91 games over the course of his hockey career. His save percentage is at .913 for his 5,095 mins between the pipes. He has compiled a mark of 51-28-7 and he was named the starter in 86 games. In his career, Jarry has compiled 53 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .616. Jarry has had 2,583 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 2,357 total saves.

In their last contest, Buffalo squared up with the Capitals in a game where the Sabres took home the win by a score of 5-2. Buffalo went home with a 46.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Buffalo had and they put on a good performance in this one. Their Fenwick rate came in at 46.8% with a Fenwick of 37 and the Capitals having a 42 Fenwick. Their PDO at even strength was 106 and their percentage of oZS was 36.6%. The Sabres netted 5 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play attempts in this contest but weren't able to score a goal.

During this campaign, the Buffalo Sabres have tallied 102 goals, 29 points, as well as a points percentage of .337. They have permitted 146 goals to be scored by way of 122 goals at even strength and 24 goals while they were shorthanded. The Sabres are sitting with 80 goals at even strength and 22 goals (24th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have recorded 107 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 20.56%. Buffalo has attempted 1,193 shots (27th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 8.55%, while allowing the other team 1,399 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 78.38% on their oppositions 111 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.6%.

Across the rink you will find Linus Ullmark protecting the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.78 goals per game and he has relinquished 309 goals altogether. Ullmark's quality start percentage is 56.3% and he has made 63 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has been a starter 112 games and has played for a total of 6,676 mins. Ullmark is the owner of a career record of 50-47-13 and has been in goal for 117 games. He has tallied 3,218 stops out of 3,527 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .912.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-275)

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