Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 3/13/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, March 13, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-201) Sabres (+180)

Carter Hutton and the Buffalo Sabres (6-15-4) play the Pittsburgh Penguins (16-9-1) at KeyBank Center on Saturday. The Penguins open this contest at -201 while the Sabres are priced at +180. The over/under is set at 6.

The Penguins were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-2 win over the Sabres in their previous outing. The Corsi for the Penguins was 43 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 38 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 53.1%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 55.2% and they had a PDO at even strength of 106.9 in this game. Pittsburgh garnered 19 mins in the box in this game. The Penguins had a impressive offensive output in the win. Their Fenwick came in at 34 and the Fenwick against finished at 32, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 51.5%. They totaled 20 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 27 opportunities to gain puck control. They also had 2 attempts on the power play and notched 1 goal. In the matchup, they netted 5 of the 27 shots they put on net.

Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have 78 power play opportunities (20th in the league) and have a total of 20 goals in those attempts. The Penguins have had 760 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .896. Pittsburgh has taken 745 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.1%. While playing at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 59 goals while getting 70 when they are on offense. Pittsburgh comes into the game with 74 power play chances and they have scored 13 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 17.57%. For the year, they have recorded 33 points and their points % is .635. Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned 83 goals (10th in pro hockey) for the year and have conceded 79.

The player in the crease for this game is Tristan Jarry. Jarry has been involved in 81 matchups throughout his pro hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 45-27-5 and he has gotten the start in 76 games. Opponents have been able to score 206 goals against Jarry in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.70. Jarry has seen 2,313 shot attempts taken against him and he has 2,107 saves. His save percentage currently sits at .911 in his 4,571 mins played. During his career on the ice, Jarry has accounted for 45 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .592.

In their loss to Pittsburgh, the Sabres PDO at even strength was 93 and their oZS percentage was 44.8%. They had 2 power play attempts in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick percentage was 48.5% by way of having a Fenwick of 32 and the Penguins having a 34 Fenwick at even strength. The Sabres earned 2 goals out of the 23 shots on goal they pursued. Buffalo went home with a 46.9% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Buffalo had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game.

So far this year, the Buffalo Sabres have accumulated 56 goals, 16 points, and a points percentage of .320. They have granted a total of 83 goals to be scored by way of 72 goals at even strength and 11 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Sabres have earned 37 goals at even strength and 19 goals (12th in the league) while on the power play. They have a total of 68 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 27.94%. Buffalo has attempted 704 shots (25th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 7.95%, while allowing the other team 770 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 80.70% on the other teams 57 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.2%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Carter Hutton in net. He is sitting with 5,566 stops out of 6,120 shots attempted against him, which gives him a rate of .909. Hutton has compiled a lifetime mark of 94-85-27 and has been in goal for 228 games. He got the starting nod in 200 games and his ice time sits at 12,311 minutes. Hutton's quality start percentage sits at 50.5% and he has qualified for 101 quality starts in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.70 goals/game and he has yielded 554 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-201)

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