Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 1/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins

Date: Thursday, January 28, 2021

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+105) Bruins (-125)

TD Garden is the site where Tuukka Rask and the Boston Bruins (4-1-1) will take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (4-2-1) on Thursday. The Bruins open this game at -125 while the Penguins are priced at +105. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Penguins were on the losing side of the ice with a 3 - 2 loss to the Bruins their last time out. The Penguins could have played much better offensively in the defeat. In the matchup, they netted 2 out of the 30 shots they put on goal. They also had 6 power play chances but weren't able to score a goal. Pittsburgh ended up with a total of 6 penalty mins in this outing. The Corsi for the Penguins sat at 45 and the Corsi against was 39 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 53.6%. Their Fenwick was 36 and the Fenwick against was 33, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 52.2%. They won 13 face-off wins and were beaten on 35 of all total face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 47.1% and they had a PDO of 104.5 for this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Boston Bruins earned 36 shots. They had 12 penalty mins and they earned a total of 3 power play chances.

With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Pittsburgh Penguins have accounted for 21 goals (12th in the NHL) for the season and have given up 26. For the current campaign, they have recorded 9 points and their points percentage is sitting at .643. Pittsburgh has compiled 24 power play opportunities and they have scored 5 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 20.83%. When at even strength, the Penguins let the opposition score 19 goals while scoring 15 as an offensive unit. Pittsburgh has tried 201 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.4%. The Penguins have had 192 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .865. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have tallied 24 power play opportunities (15th in the NHL) and have come away with 6 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Tristan Jarry. In his career, Jarry has earned 37 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .597. He has a save percentage of .911 in his 3,730 minutes between the pipes. Jarry has seen 1,888 shots against him and has garnered 1,720 saves. Opponents have scored 168 goals versus Jarry in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.70. He has a mark of 36-22-5 and he has started in 62 games. Jarry has participated in 67 games over the course of his NHL career.

In their win over Pittsburgh, Boston wound up with a 46.4% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 39 while they surrendered a Corsi of 45. They had a Fenwick percentage of 47.8% with a Fenwick of 33 and the Penguins having earned a 36 Fenwick. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Boston played and you can say they had a mediocre outing. Their PDO at even strength was 95.5 and they earned an oZS percentage of 52.9%. The Bruins scored 3 goals of the 36 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one and were able to notch 1 out of those chances. Regarding their opponent, the Penguins had 6 power play opportunities but were not able to take advantage. Boston gave way to 30 shots on goal and the Penguins earned 6 minutes in the box.

Boston has attempted 197 shots (16th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 8.12%, while allowing their opponents 143 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 92.31% on their opponents 26 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 8.1%. They have recorded 20 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 35.00%. The Bruins have tallied 7 goals at even strength and 7 goals (8th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 12 goals to be scored by way of 10 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they were shorthanded. For the season, the Boston Bruins have earned a total of 16 goals, 9 points, and a points percentage of .750.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Tuukka Rask defending the net. He has accounted for 13,797 stops out of 14,969 shots attempted against him, which gives him a rate of .922. Rask has compiled a career mark of 294-159-64 and has been in net for 540 games. He was named a starter in 519 games and his ice time sits at 31,063 minutes. Rask's quality start rate is 60.9% and he has 316 quality starts in his NHL career. His opponents are averaging 2.26 goals per contest and he has relinquished 1,172 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+105)

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