Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/23/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, November 23, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+115) Lightning (-147)

Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (8-5-3) are headed to Amalie Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-4-3). The Flyers open this game at +115 while the Lightning are coming in at -147. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Flyers will look for better times on the ice after their 5-2 loss against the Bruins in the last game they played. Their offensive zone starts came in at 48.7% and their PDO rating was 90.1 for this matchup. They had 24 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 21 attempts to win the face-off. Their Fenwick was 33 and the Fenwick Against sat at 43, giving them a Fenwick rate of 43.4%. The Corsi for the Flyers sat at 39 and the Corsi against was 49 which means they had a Corsi rate of 44.3%. Philadelphia accumulated 17 minutes in the box in this matchup. Furthermore, they had 5 attempts on the power play and scored 1 goal. The Flyers left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. For the outing, they finished 2 of the 31 shots they attempted.

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Philadelphia Flyers opponents have 54 power play tries (15th in hockey) and have a total of 9 goals in those chances. The Flyers have had 546 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .923. Philadelphia has attempted 503 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.6%. When at even strength, the Flyers have allowed the opponent to score 33 goals while notching 35 on the offensive side of the ice. Philadelphia has tallied 52 power play chances and they have scored 8 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 15.38%. For the year, they have recorded 19 points and their points percentage sits at .594. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Philadelphia Flyers have accounted for 43 goals (27th in the league) so far this season and have given up 42.

The man in goal for this game is Carter Hart. Hart has been involved in 112 games during his hockey career. He has an overall mark of 54-40-12 and got the start in 106 games. Opponents have been able to score 290 goals versus Hart in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.81. Hart has had 3,166 shot attempts taken against him and he has 2,876 total saves. He has a save percentage of .908 during his 6,196 mins between the pipes. Over the course of his time in hockey, Hart has compiled 54 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .509.

In their last contest, Tampa Bay faced off against the Wild in an outing where the Lightning took home the win by a score of 5-4. Their PDO was 103 and their oZS percentage was 51.6%. They had 4 power play chances in this matchup and netted 1 goal out of those tries. Their Fenwick rate came in at 46.4% by compiling a Fenwick of 32 and the Wild finishing with a 37 Fenwick. The Lightning notched 5 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they were seeking. Tampa Bay wound up with a 47.8% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay played and it tells us that they played really well in this game.

Tampa Bay has tried 502 shots (23rd in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 10.56%, while allowing the opposition 500 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 85.71% on their opponents 56 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 89.8%. They have a tally of 53 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 20.75%. The Lightning have racked up 42 goals at even strength and 11 goals (11th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 51 goals to be scored by of a combination of 43 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched a total of 53 goals, 23 points, in addition to a points percentage of .676.

Across the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy patrolling the crease. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals/game and he has yielded 770 goals overall. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts comes out to 56.2% and he has accumulated 172 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has made the start in 306 games and has played for a total of 18,487 mins. Vasilevskiy holds a lifetime record of 198-86-22 and has participated in 316 contests. He has recorded 8,812 stops out of the 9,582 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .920.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+115)

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