Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 3/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Thursday, March 4, 2021

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (-111) Penguins (-105)

Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (12-8-1) host the Philadelphia Flyers (11-5-3) at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday. The Flyers open this matchup at -111 while the Penguins are priced at -105. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Flyers had a rough game after their 5-2 defeat to the Penguins in their last contest. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 56.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 87.1 for this one. They had 24 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 15 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against was 25, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 57.6%. The Corsi for the Flyers was sitting at 51 and the Corsi against was 37 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 58.0%. Philadelphia amassed 10 penalty mins in this contest. Furthermore, they had 5 power play attempts but weren't able to score. The Flyers could have played much better offensively in the loss. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 2 of the 42 shots they tried.

In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Philadelphia Flyers have notched 63 goals (14th in pro hockey) on the campaign and have surrendered 57. For the season, they have racked up 25 points and their points percentage is sitting at .658. Philadelphia skates onto the rink with 68 power play opportunities and they have notched 12 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 17.65%. When at even strength, the Flyers have allowed 39 goals while scoring 51 on the offensive side of the ice. Philadelphia has tried 507 shots and has a shot percentage of 12.4%. The Flyers have had 605 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .906. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have totaled 66 power play opportunities (19th in hockey) and have come away with 18 goals in those attempts.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Carter Hart. In his professional hockey career, Hart has 45 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .542. His save percentage currently is .912 for his 4,813 mins in the crease. Hart has had 2,479 shots against him and has amassed 2,260 total saves. Opponents have scored 219 goals versus Hart in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.73. He has amassed a record of 46-30-7 and he has gotten the start in 83 games. Hart has taken the ice for 87 contests throughout his NHL career.

In their win over Philly, Pittsburgh had 3 attempts on the power play in this game and scored 1 out of those tries. The Penguins scored 5 goals out of the 27 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO was 113 and they earned an oZS percentage of 43.3%. Pittsburgh wrapped up this game with a 42.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Pittsburgh had and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick percentage was 42.4% by notching a Fenwick of 25 and the Flyers having earned a 34 Fenwick at even strength.

The Penguins have scored 52 goals at even strength and 10 goals (26th in the NHL) while on the power play. Pittsburgh has tried 611 shots (17th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.15%, while allowing their opponents 621 shots. For the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have notched a total of 62 goals, 25 points, in addition to a points percentage of .595. They have earned 63 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 15.87%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 74.24% on the other teams 66 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 89.2%. They have allowed 67 goals to be scored by of a combination of 50 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the rink you are going to see Tristan Jarry in net. He has tallied 2,003 saves out of the 2,198 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .911. Jarry is the owner of a lifetime mark of 42-26-5 and has participated in 77 games. He has started in 72 games and his ice time sits at 4,332 minutes. Jarry's percentage of quality starts sits at 59.7% and he has qualified for 43 quality starting assignments in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.70 goals per game and he has allowed 195 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-105)

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