Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Prediction, 3/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders

Date: Saturday, March 20, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+125) Islanders (-138)

Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (15-10-3) are headed to Barclays Center on Saturday where they'll meet the New York Islanders (19-8-4). The odds on this contest have the Flyers priced at +125 and the Islanders are at -138. The total is set at 5.5.

The Flyers came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-3 victory over the Islanders their last time out. The Corsi for the Flyers sat at 47 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 34 which means they had a Corsi rate of 58.0%. Their offensive zone starts sat at 52.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 98.4 in this game. Philadelphia had 6 penalty mins in this matchup. The Flyers had a solid offensive output in the win. Their Fenwick was 33 and the Fenwick against was 24, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 57.9%. They accounted for 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 33 attempts to control the puck. Additionally, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. In the game, they netted 4 out of the 31 shots they looked to score on.

The Flyers have had 831 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .883. At even strength, the Flyers have conceded 75 goals while having 72 of their own. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have earned 87 power play opportunities (21st in pro hockey) and have earned 22 goals in those chances. For the year, they have earned 33 points and their points percentage sits at .589. Philadelphia has attempted 786 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.6%. In relation to scoring goals, the Philadelphia Flyers have accumulated 91 goals (12th in hockey) so far this year and have allowed 97. Philadelphia has 97 power play chances and they have scored 19 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 19.59%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Carter Hart. In his professional hockey career, Hart has accumulated 46 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .529. His save percentage sits at .908 for his 5,078 minutes on the ice. Hart has seen 2,592 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 2,354 total saves. The opposition has scored 238 goals against Hart in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.81. He has earned a record of 48-32-7 and he started in 87 games. Hart has taken the ice for 93 matchups throughout his hockey career.

In their loss to Philly, New York had 2 power play opportunities in this contest but weren't able to score a goal. The Islanders recorded 3 goals of the 25 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO at even strength was 102 and their percentage of oZS was 46.9%. New York wound up with a 42.0% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that New York played and it shows us they played like an average team. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 42.1% by earning a Fenwick of 24 and the Flyers having earned a 33 Fenwick.

For the year, the New York Islanders have notched a total of 88 goals, 42 points, in addition to a points percentage of .677. They have allowed 70 goals to be scored by way of 56 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they were shorthanded. The Islanders have scored 71 goals at even strength and 17 goals (19th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 85 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 20.00%. New York has taken 922 shots (8th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.54%, while allowing the opposition 851 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 81.58% on their opponents 76 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 91.8%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Semyon Varlamov in net. Varlamov is the owner of a career mark of 245-189-59 and has been in goal for 515 contests. Varlamov's quality start percentage sits at 55.9% and he has earned 275 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has recorded 14,163 saves out of the 15,466 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .916. His opponents are averaging 2.65 goals/game and he has given up 1,303 goals in total. He has started in 492 games and has played 29,517 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+125)

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