Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 11/13/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars

Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+105) Stars (-147)

Braden Holtby and the Dallas Stars host the Philadelphia Flyers at American Airlines Center on Saturday. The Flyers open this matchup at +105 while the Stars are priced at -147. The total opens at 5.5.

The Flyers will look to clean up some issues after taking a 3-0 defeat to the Maple Leafs their last time out. The Flyers offense left a lot to be desired in the defeat. For the matchup, they ended the night with no scores out of the 36 shots they launched. They also had 4 power play opportunities but weren't able to net one. Philadelphia accounted for 8 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Flyers came in at 57 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 40 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 58.8%. Their Fenwick was 43 and the Fenwick against was 30, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 58.9%. They accumulated 27 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 23 opportunities to win the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 61.8% and their PDO was 92.0 for this game.

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Philadelphia Flyers opponents have tallied 38 power play tries (19th in the league) and have a total of 7 goals in those chances. The Flyers have had 365 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .926. Philadelphia has taken 338 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 9.5%. At even strength, the Flyers have conceded 20 goals while scoring 26 of their own. Philadelphia steps onto the ice with 32 power play opportunities and they have tallied 6 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 18.75%. For the year, they have accumulated 14 points and their points percentage is sitting at .636. When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 32 goals (24th in the NHL) for the season and have surrendered 27.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Martin Jones. Over the course of his time in hockey, Jones is sitting with 189 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .529. His save percentage is at .909 during his 20,876 mins on the ice. Jones has had 9,883 shots taken against him and has recorded 8,980 saves. Opponents have been able to score 903 goals against Jones in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.60. He has amassed a mark of 189-132-29 and he has gotten the start in 357 games. Jones has participated in 364 games during his hockey career.

In their last game, Dallas faced off against the Predators in a game where the Stars ended up taking the loss by a score of 4-2. Dallas wound up with a 59.5% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Dallas had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. Their Fenwick percentage was 53.3% by earning a Fenwick of 32 and the Predators ending the game with a 28 Fenwick. Their PDO was 86 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 63.0%. The Stars scored 2 goals of the 27 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing and scored 1 goal out of those chances.

Dallas has attempted 355 shots (27th in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 7.32%, while allowing their opponents 370 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 75.00% on their opponents 40 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.7%. They have earned 31 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 29.03%. The Stars have scored 17 goals at even strength and 9 goals (14th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 38 goals to be scored by of a combination of 28 goals at even strength and 10 goals while they were shorthanded. This season, the Dallas Stars have notched a total of 26 goals, 10 points, in addition to a points percentage of .417.

Across the rink you are going to see Braden Holtby in goal. Teams are averaging 2.58 goals per game and he has surrendered 1,230 goals altogether. Holtby's rate of quality starts sits at 57.1% and he has made 278 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has made the start in 487 games and has been on the ice for 28,561 mins. Holtby is the owner of a career record of 291-137-50 and has played in 497 games. He has compiled 13,195 saves out of the 14,425 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .915.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (-147)

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