Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 3/29/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Monday, March 29, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (-181) Sabres (+163)

Linus Ullmark and the Buffalo Sabres (6-23-4) play the Philadelphia Flyers (16-13-4) at KeyBank Center on Monday. The Sabres open this game at +163 while the Flyers are coming in at -181. The total is set at 5.5.

The Flyers went home feeling good about their game by earning a 2-1 win against the Rangers in their previous outing. The Flyers had a below average offensive performance in the win. For the matchup, they netted 2 of the 37 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 3 power play attempts and were able to net 1 goal. Philadelphia compiled 6 penalty minutes for this contest. The Corsi for the Flyers was 54 and the Corsi against was at 34 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 61.4%. Their Fenwick was 41 and the Fenwick against finished at 27, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 60.3%. They earned 27 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 15 opportunities to gain puck control. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 53.1% and they had a PDO of 103.2 for this game.

When it comes to their goal scoring prowess, the Philadelphia Flyers have racked up 101 goals (13th in pro hockey) for the year and have allowed 118. For the year, they have recorded 36 points and their points percentage is sitting at .545. Philadelphia comes into the game with 111 power play opportunities and they have scored 23 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 20.72%. When at even strength, the Flyers have surrendered 90 goals while earning 78 themselves. Philadelphia has attempted 961 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.5%. The Flyers have had 958 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .877. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have tallied 103 power play tries (16th in professional hockey) and have racked up 28 goals in those chances.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Carter Hart. Hart has been in net for 96 games during his hockey career. He has a win-loss record of 48-35-7 and he has gotten the start in 90 games. Opponents have been able to score 253 goals against Hart in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.91. Hart has seen 2,663 shots against him and he has 2,410 saves. He has a save percentage of .905 during his 5,218 minutes in the crease. For his professional hockey career, Hart has 45 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .500.

The last time they were on the ice, Buffalo played the Bruins in a game where the Sabres took a loss by a score of 3-2. Their PDO was 95 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 45.5%. They had 3 power play attempts in this contest and converted 1 out of those tries. Their Fenwick percentage was 43.3% by way of having a Fenwick of 29 and the Bruins having a 38 Fenwick. The Sabres notched 2 goals of the 27 shots on goal they attempted. Buffalo had a 43.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Buffalo had and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing.

The Sabres have 46 goals at even strength and 20 goals (21st in pro hockey) while on the power play. Buffalo has taken 920 shots (29th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 7.17%, while allowing the opposition 1,047 shots. So far this season, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 66 goals, 16 points, in addition to a points percentage of .242. They have recorded 86 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 23.26%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.91% on their oppositions 86 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is 88.9%. They have allowed 116 goals to be scored by of a combination of 97 goals at even strength and 19 goals while they had less men on the ice.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Linus Ullmark protecting the goal. Ullmark is the owner of a career record of 46-46-12 and has participated in 110 games. Ullmark's quality start rate comes out to 56.2% and he has 59 quality starts in his pro career. He has accrued 3,025 stops out of 3,316 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .912. Teams are averaging 2.77 goals per game and he has surrendered 291 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 105 games and has played 6,307 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-181)

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