Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 2/27/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (-129) Sabres (+117)

KeyBank Center is the venue where Linus Ullmark and the Buffalo Sabres (6-8-3) will play the Philadelphia Flyers (9-4-3) on Saturday. The odds on this contest have the Flyers priced at -129 and the Sabres are at +117. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Flyers were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win against the Rangers in their previous contest. The Flyers had a solid offensive output and it showed in the win. For the matchup, they scored on 4 of the 39 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 8 attempts on the power play and notched 2 goals. Philadelphia earned 16 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Flyers sat at 45 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 36 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 55.6%. Their Fenwick came in at 32 and the Fenwick against was 27, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 54.2%. They had a tally of 20 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 11 attempts to win the face-off. The offensive zone starts for them were at 51.1% and they had a PDO of 103.2 for this game.

In the matter of their scoring, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 55 goals (14th in the league) on the season and have surrendered 52. For the year, they have earned 21 points and their points percentage is sitting at .656. Philadelphia has tallied 58 power play chances and they have scored 12 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 20.69%. While playing at even strength, the Flyers let the opposition score 35 goals while having 43 as an offensive unit. Philadelphia has attempted 388 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 14.2%. The Flyers have had 527 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .901. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have tallied 57 power play opportunities (20th in professional hockey) and have earned 17 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Carter Hart. Hart has taken the ice for 85 games throughout his hockey career. He has a win-loss mark of 45-29-7 and got the start in 81 games. Opponents have scored 214 goals against Hart in his career and his goals against rate is 2.74. Hart has had 2,424 shots against him and has gathered 2,210 total saves. His save percentage currently sits at .912 in his 4,693 mins on the ice. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Hart has accrued 44 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .543.

When they took the ice last, Buffalo faced off against the Devils in a matchup where the Sabres took the defeat by a tally of 4-3. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this outing and netted 2 out of those chances. The Sabres recorded 3 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 96 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 62.5%. Buffalo went home with a 40.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Buffalo played and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 41.9% with a Fenwick of 31 and the Devils finishing with a 43 Fenwick.

On the season, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 42 goals, 15 points, and a points percentage of .441. They have allowed 50 goals to be scored by of a combination of 41 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Sabres have earned 23 goals at even strength and 19 goals (4th in hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 55 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 34.55%. Buffalo has put up 520 shots (23rd in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 8.08%, while allowing their opponents 510 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.92% on the other teams 39 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.2%.

For the opposition you are going to see Linus Ullmark in net. Teams are averaging 2.77 goals per game and he has conceded 288 goals in total. Ullmark's percentage of quality starts is 55.8% and he has qualified for 58 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He got the starting nod in 104 games and has racked up 6,249 minutes. Ullmark holds a career record of 46-45-12 and has been in net for 109 games. He has compiled 2,992 stops out of the 3,280 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-129)

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