Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, 2/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Thursday, February 11, 2021

Location: Bell MTS Place in Winnipeg, MB

TV: TSN3

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+165) Jets (-190)

Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets (7-4-1) play the Ottawa Senators (2-11-1) at Bell MTS Place on Thursday. The Senators open this game at +165 while the Jets are coming in at -190. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Senators will need a bounce back game after taking a 3-2 loss to the Oilers in their previous outing. The Senators had a below average offensive performance in the loss. In the matchup, they tallied a score on 2 of the 42 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 2 power play tries but didn't get a goal. Ottawa compiled 4 penalty mins in this contest. The Corsi for the Senators came in at 63 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 35 which means they had a Corsi rate of 64.3%. Their Fenwick came in at 54 and the Fenwick against finished at 29, giving them a Fenwick rate of 65.1%. They compiled 24 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 19 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 50.0% and they had a PDO of 89.9 in this game.

The Senators have had 436 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .867. While at even strength, the Senators have allowed the opponent to score 43 goals while having 23 themselves. Ottawa Senators opponents have recorded 52 power play tries (4th in the league) and have a total of 13 goals in those chances. For the year, they have recorded 5 points and their points percentage is sitting at .179. Ottawa has taken 440 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 7.0%. Pertaining to their goal scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 31 goals (22nd in pro hockey) for the year and have conceded 58. Ottawa skates onto the rink with 58 power play chances and they have added 8 goals during those chances, giving them a rate of 13.79%.

The man in goal for this game is Matt Murray. Opponents have been able to score 539 goals versus Murray in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.71. Murray has taken the ice for 210 contests throughout his NHL career. His save percentage currently is .913 during his 11,927 minutes guarding the cage. He has earned a record of 119-59-20 and he was named the starter in 203 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Murray has tallied 104 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .512. Murray has seen 6,176 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 5,637 saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Winnipeg faced off against the Flames in an outing where the Jets took the loss by a tally of 3-2. Winnipeg wound up with a 40.0% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Winnipeg played and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their Fenwick rate came in at 39.7% by earning a Fenwick of 25 and the Flames finishing with a 38 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO at even strength was 97 and they earned an oZS percentage of 51.6%. The Jets notched 2 goals of the 27 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this game and scored 1 out of those opportunities.

Winnipeg has attempted 362 shots (12th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.33%, while allowing their opponents 370 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 79.41% on the other teams 34 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 11.3%. They have a total of 42 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 21.43%. The Jets have tallied 31 goals at even strength and 9 goals (17th in the league) while on the power play. They have allowed 34 goals to be scored by way of 27 goals at even strength and 7 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Winnipeg Jets have accumulated 41 goals, 15 points, and a points percentage of .625.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Connor Hellebuyck protecting the net. Hellebuyck is the owner of a career mark of 153-88-23 and has been in net for 279 games. Hellebuyck's percentage of quality starts is 54.1% and he has accumulated 146 quality starts in his career. He is sitting with 7,708 saves out of 8,408 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .917. Teams are averaging 2.63 goals per game and he has surrendered 700 goals in total. He has started in 270 games and has racked up 15,948 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Winnipeg (-190)

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