Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 4/10/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, April 10, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TVAS2

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+260) Maple Leafs (-320)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-10-3) play the Ottawa Senators (13-24-4) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The odds on this contest have the Senators priced at +260 and the Maple Leafs are at -320. The over/under opens at 6.5.

The Senators had a rough game after their 3-1 loss against the Oilers their last time out. The Senators didn't have a great showing offensively in the loss. For the game, they earned a goal on 1 out of the 40 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 2 power play chances but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Ottawa recorded 4 minutes in the box in this contest. The Corsi for the Senators was 61 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 45 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 57.5%. Their Fenwick was 51 and the Fenwick against was 36, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 58.6%. They accrued 24 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 22 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 61.5% and their PDO was 92.6 for this one.

Ottawa Senators opponents have earned 125 power play tries (11th in hockey) and have scored 30 goals in those chances. The Senators have had 1,339 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .886. Ottawa has attempted 1,284 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 8.2%. When at even strength, the Senators have conceded 122 goals while getting 86 themselves. Ottawa skates onto the rink with 129 power play chances and they have scored 19 goals out of those chances, giving them a rate of 14.73%. For the year, they have scored 30 points and their points percentage sits at .366. In terms of their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have notched 105 goals (20th in the league) so far this season and have given up 152.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Matt Murray. Murray has taken the ice for 221 contests throughout his pro hockey career. He has a mark of 124-65-20 and he was named the starter in 213 games. Opponents have racked up 578 goals against Murray in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.77. Murray has seen 6,485 shots taken against him and has recorded 5,907 total saves. His save percentage is at .911 in his 12,507 minutes in the crease. Over the course of his career, Murray has 109 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .512.

In their last game, Toronto played the Canadiens in a matchup where the Maple Leafs ended up with the victory by a tally of 3-2. Toronto earned a 46.5% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Toronto had and you can say they had a mediocre outing. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 48.2% by compiling a Fenwick of 40 and the Canadiens having racked up a 43 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 104 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 36.4%. The Maple Leafs scored 3 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

Toronto has taken 1,238 shots (6th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.66%, while allowing their opponents 1,138 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.50% on their opponents 107 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 91.2%. They have a total of 115 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 23.48%. The Maple Leafs are sitting with 105 goals at even strength and 27 goals (11th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 100 goals to be scored by of a combination of 77 goals at even strength and 23 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 132 goals, 57 points, and a points percentage of .713.

Across the ice you are likely to see Frederik Andersen in the crease. Andersen has amassed a lifetime mark of 226-100-47 and has been in goal for 392 games. Andersen's rate of quality starts is 57.1% and he has accumulated 217 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has accounted for 10,750 stops out of the 11,743 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .915. The opposition is averaging 2.64 goals per game and he has surrendered 993 goals in total. He has started in 380 games and has played 22,539 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-320)

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