Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 2/17/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Wednesday, February 17, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet One

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+245) Maple Leafs (-300)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (11-3-2) host the Ottawa Senators (4-12-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. The Maple Leafs open this game at -300 while the Senators are priced at +245. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Senators were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6-5 victory over the Maple Leafs in their previous game. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 58 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 55 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 51.3%. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 45.9% and they had a PDO of 105.4 for this one. Ottawa amassed 11 penalty mins for this game. The Senators had a solid offensive performance and it showed in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 42 and the Fenwick Against sat at 46, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 47.7%. They garnered 28 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 25 opportunities to gain puck control. They also had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to net one. In the matchup, they tallied a score on 6 out of the 31 shots they tried.

The Senators have had 531 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .870. While playing at even strength, the Senators have conceded 47 goals while scoring 24 on offense. Ottawa Senators opponents have earned 57 power play opportunities (5th in the NHL) and have come away with 15 goals in those attempts. For the current season, the have a total of 9 points and their points percentage is .265. Ottawa has taken 542 shots and holds a shot percentage of 7.4%. In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have racked up 40 goals (20th in the NHL) this season and have surrendered 69. Ottawa has tallied 64 power play chances and they have added 8 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 12.50%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Matt Murray. The opposition has racked up 542 goals against Murray in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.72. Murray has been in net for 211 games during his NHL career. His save percentage sits at .912 during his 11,967 minutes played. He has accumulated a record of 119-60-20 and he was named the starter in 204 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Murray has accumulated 104 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .510. Murray has had 6,191 shots taken against him and he has 5,649 total saves.

In their loss to Ottawa, Toronto had 2 power play attempts in this contest and recorded 1 out of those opportunities. The Maple Leafs converted 5 goals of the 38 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 95 and their percentage of oZS was 53.8%. Toronto wound up with a 48.7% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Toronto had and they played a solid game. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 52.3% by compiling a Fenwick of 46 and the Senators ending the game with a 42 Fenwick at even strength.

Toronto has attempted 470 shots (8th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 12.34%, while allowing the opposition 446 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 78.18% on their opponents 55 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 12.3%. They have a tally of 46 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 34.78%. The Maple Leafs have tallied 37 goals at even strength and 16 goals (2nd in the NHL) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 44 goals to be scored by of a combination of 23 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 58 goals, 24 points, in addition to a points percentage of .750.

Across the ice you will find Frederik Andersen defending the net. His opposition is averaging 2.63 goals/game and he has relinquished 966 goals in total. Andersen's quality start percentage is 57.5% and he has qualified for 214 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has made the start in 372 games and has racked up 22,016 mins. Andersen has amassed a lifetime mark of 222-95-47 and has participated in 383 contests. He has a tally of 10,530 stops out of the 11,496 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-300)

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