Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 2/15/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Monday, February 15, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+255) Maple Leafs (-333)

Scotiabank Arena is the venue where Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (11-3-1) will play the Ottawa Senators (3-12-1) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Senators coming in at +255 and the Maple Leafs are at -333. The O/U has been set at 6.5.

The Senators went home feeling good about their game by earning a 2-1 victory against the Jets in their last contest. Their offensive zone starts were at 45.2% and they had a PDO of 103.7 for this game. They accounted for 23 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 23 opportunities to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 38 and the Fenwick against was 43, giving them a Fenwick rate of 46.9%. The Corsi for the Senators was 46 and the Corsi against was 66 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 41.1%. Ottawa tallied 2 minutes in the box in this game. They also had 1 chance on the power play but weren't able to notch a goal. The Senators didn't have a great showing offensively in the win. For the outing, they scored on 2 out of the 29 shots they put on goal.

The Senators have had 493 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .870. When at even strength, the Senators have surrendered 47 goals while notching 24 of their own. Ottawa Senators opponents have amassed 55 power play tries (5th in professional hockey) and have scored 14 goals in those chances. For the current season, they have scored 7 points and their points percentage is sitting at .219. Ottawa has attempted 511 shots and has a shooting percentage of 6.7%. In terms of their scoring, the Ottawa Senators have earned 34 goals (23rd in the league) on the season and have allowed 64. Ottawa comes into tonight with 61 power play opportunities and they have notched 8 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 13.11%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Matt Murray. Opponents have notched 542 goals against Murray in his career and his goals against rate is 2.72. Murray has participated in 211 contests over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage currently is .912 in his 11,967 mins between the pipes. He has an overall mark of 119-60-20 and he started in 204 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Murray has accounted for 104 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .510. Murray has seen 6,191 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 5,649 total saves.

In their last game, Toronto went up against the Canadiens in a matchup where the Maple Leafs went home in defeat by a tally of 2-1. They had a PDO of 97 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 64.0%. They had 1 attempt on the power play in this one but didn't score a goal. Their Fenwick percentage was 48.6% by accumulating a Fenwick of 35 and the Canadiens having accrued a 37 Fenwick at even strength. The Maple Leafs had 1 goal of the 22 shots on goal they pursued. Toronto had a 40.2% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Toronto played and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing.

On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned a total of 53 goals, 23 points, in addition to a points percentage of .767. They have permitted 38 goals to be scored by of a combination of 23 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs have tallied 37 goals at even strength and 15 goals (3rd in the league) while having a power play advantage. They have a tally of 44 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 34.09%. Toronto has taken 432 shots (11th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 12.27%, while allowing the opposition 415 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 76.92% on their opponents 52 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 12.3%.

Across the ice you are going to see Frederik Andersen in goal. Teams are averaging 2.62 goals/game and he has allowed 960 goals overall. Andersen's rate of quality starts comes out to 57.7% and he has 214 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has made the start in 371 games and has racked up 21,954 minutes. Andersen has amassed a lifetime mark of 222-95-46 and has participated in 382 games. He has accounted for 10,505 stops out of 11,465 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .916.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+255)

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