Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 10/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+162) Maple Leafs (-180)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs play the Ottawa Senators at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Senators coming in at +162 and the Maple Leafs are at -180. The total has been set at 6.

The Senators went home feeling good about their game by earning a 3-2 victory over the Maple Leafs their last time out. The Senators played like an average offensive team in the win. In the outing, they netted 3 out of the 36 shots they launched. In addition, they had 4 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal. Ottawa compiled 8 minutes in the box for this game. The Corsi for the Senators was sitting at 57 and the Corsi against was at 54 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 51.4%. Their Fenwick came in at 43 and the Fenwick Against sat at 43, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They amassed 20 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 42.3% and their PDO was 106.5 for this matchup.

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Ottawa Senators opposition had 171 power play opportunities (11th in professional hockey) and earned 36 goals in those attempts. The Senators had 1,799 shots tried against them and held a save percentage of .895. Ottawa took 1,663 shots and had a shooting percentage of 9.3%. When playing at even strength, the Senators surrendered 153 goals while having 128. Ottawa wrapped up the season with 174 power play chances and tallied 27 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 15.52%. For the prior campaign, they recorded 51 points and their points percentage finished at .455. In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators tallied 155 goals (20th in the league) for the previous season surrendered 189.

The man protecting the net in this game is Matt Murray. Throughout his time in hockey, Murray has tallied 114 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .523. He has a save percentage of .912 for his 12,770 minutes between the pipes. Murray has had 6,615 shot attempts against him and has recorded 6,031 saves. The opposition has been able to score 584 goals against Murray in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.74. He has compiled a mark of 127-66-20 and he was named the starter in 218 games. Murray has been involved in 226 games during his professional hockey career.

In their last game, Toronto faced the Senators in a game where the Maple Leafs took the loss by a tally of 3-2. They had 5 opportunities on the power play in this game and earned 2 goals out of those attempts. The Maple Leafs earned 2 goals of the 48 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 94 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 57.7%. Toronto wound up with a 48.6% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto played and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. Their Fenwick rate came in at 50.0% by notching a Fenwick of 43 and the Senators having accrued a 43 Fenwick at even strength.

On the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs earned a total of 186 goals, 77 points, in addition to a points percentage of .688. They permitted 148 goals to be scored by way of 117 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs finished with 155 goals at even strength and 31 goals (19th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They recorded 155 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 20.00%. Toronto put up 1,751 shots (6th in the league) and accumulated a shot percentage of 10.62%, while allowing their opponent 1,558 shots. They recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.47% on their opponent's 144 power play opportunities, and their save percentage came in at 90.5%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Jack Campbell in net. He is sitting with 2,232 stops out of the 2,430 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .919. Campbell has earned a career mark of 41-30-8 and has been in goal for 88 games. He got the starting nod in 79 contests and has accumulated 4,870 mins. Campbell's quality start rate comes in at 54.4% and he has 43 quality starts in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.44 goals per contest and he has yielded 198 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-180)

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