Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 5/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: CITY

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+180) Canadiens (-220)

Marcus Hogberg and the Ottawa Senators (19-27-4) head to Bell Centre on Saturday where they'll meet the Montreal Canadiens (21-18-9). The Senators open this matchup at +180 while the Canadiens are coming in at -220. The O/U is set at 6.

The Senators were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-3 victory against the Canucks in their previous outing. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 56 and the Corsi against was 40 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 58.3%. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 48.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 105.6 in this one. Ottawa garnered 16 penalty mins in this contest. The Senators played really well in this victory. Their Fenwick came in at 43 and the Fenwick against was 29, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 59.7%. They garnered 22 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 19 attempts to gain puck control. They also had 3 power play attempts but didn't get a goal. In the game, they finished 6 of the 33 shots they put on goal.

Ottawa Senators opponents have earned 153 power play opportunities (9th in the NHL) and have scored 33 goals in those attempts. The Senators have had 1,602 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .892. Ottawa has taken 1,517 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.0%. When at even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 140 goals while getting 111 on offense. Ottawa has accumulated 158 power play opportunities and they have scored 26 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 16.46%. For the season, the have a total of 42 points and their points percentage is sitting at .420. When discussing scoring goals, the Ottawa Senators have earned 137 goals (18th in hockey) so far this year and have given up 173.

The player in the crease for this game is Marcus Hogberg. Throughout his time in hockey, Hogberg is sitting with 14 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .400. He has a save percentage of .894 during his 2,193 mins on the ice. Hogberg has seen 1,171 shots taken against him and has recorded 1,047 total saves. The opposition has notched 124 goals against Hogberg in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 3.39. He has an overall mark of 9-17-9 and he has gotten the start in 35 games. Hogberg has taken the ice for 42 games throughout his professional hockey career.

In their last game, Montreal squared up with the Maple Leafs in a game where the Canadiens took the loss by a tally of 4-1. Montreal earned a 57.6% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. Their Fenwick rate was 51.7% by tallying a Fenwick of 30 and the Maple Leafs finishing with a 28 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 90 and their percentage of oZS was 55.6%. The Canadiens scored 1 goal of the 33 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but didn't score a goal.

Montreal has tried 1,517 shots (9th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.97%, while allowing the other team 1,353 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.12% on their oppositions 153 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 89.9%. They have earned 131 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 19.08%. The Canadiens are sitting with 111 goals at even strength and 25 goals (25th in hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 137 goals to be scored by way of 102 goals at even strength and 35 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 136 goals, 51 points, in addition to a points percentage of .531.

For the opposition you are likely to see Jake Allen in net. He has racked up 7,602 saves out of the 8,332 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .912. Allen is the owner of a lifetime record of 157-104-30 and has played in 312 contests. He got the starting nod in 293 contests and his ice time sits at 17,465 minutes. Allen's quality start rate is 53.9% and he has qualified for 158 quality starts in his career. Opponents are averaging 2.51 goals per contest and he has given up 730 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+180)

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