Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/3/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+188) Canadiens (-225)

Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (16-8-9) play the Ottawa Senators (12-21-4) at Bell Centre on Saturday. The Senators open this contest at +188 while the Canadiens are coming in at -225. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The Senators will look for better times on the ice after their 4-1 defeat to the Canadiens in their last game. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 45.7% and their PDO rating was 91.4 for this matchup. They garnered 23 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to gain puck control. Their Fenwick came in at 29 and the Fenwick Against sat at 50, giving them a Fenwick rate of 36.7%. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 37 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 56 which means they had a Corsi rate of 39.8%. Ottawa earned 4 penalty mins for this contest. They also had 2 chances with the advantage and were able to score 1 goal. The Senators had a below average offensive performance in the defeat. In the game, they scored on 1 of the 23 shots they put on net.

The Senators have had 1,197 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .885. While at even strength, the Senators have allowed the opponent to score 112 goals while earning 76 on offense. Ottawa Senators opponents have amassed 113 power play opportunities (10th in pro hockey) and have scored 26 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they have racked up 28 points and their points % is .378. Ottawa has tried 1,159 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 8.0%. In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have racked up 93 goals (25th in the league) on the season and have allowed 138. Ottawa has 119 power play chances and they have notched 17 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 14.29%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Matt Murray. Opponents have notched 578 goals versus Murray in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.77. Murray has participated in 221 contests throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage is .911 for his 12,507 mins in the crease. He has earned a win-loss mark of 124-65-20 and was named the starter in 213 games. For his professional hockey career, Murray has accounted for 109 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .512. Murray has had 6,485 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 5,907 saves.

In their win over Ottawa, Montreal earned a 60.2% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal played and they put on a good performance in this one. Their Fenwick rate was 63.3% by way of having a Fenwick of 50 and the Senators having notched a 29 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO was 109 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 54.3%. The Canadiens earned 4 goals of the 38 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 chances on the power play in this contest but weren't able to score a goal.

The Canadiens are sitting with 87 goals at even strength and 20 goals (21st in professional hockey) while on the power play. Montreal has attempted 1,098 shots (10th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 9.74%, while allowing their opponents 934 shots. During this campaign, the Montreal Canadiens have notched a total of 107 goals, 41 points, in addition to a points percentage of .621. They have earned 91 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 21.98%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 76.58% on their opponents 111 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 90.9%. They have permitted 85 goals to be scored by of a combination of 59 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the rink you will find Carey Price patrolling the crease. His opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has relinquished 1,727 goals altogether. Price's rate of quality starts comes out to 57.5% and he has accumulated 397 quality starting assignments in his career. He has started in 691 games and has been on the ice for 41,503 mins. Price has accumulated a career mark of 359-255-79 and has been in net for 703 contests. He has a tally of 19,109 saves out of 20,836 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Montreal (-225)

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