Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 2/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Thursday, February 4, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN2

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+188) Canadiens (-225)

Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (7-1-2) host the Ottawa Senators (1-8-1) at Bell Centre on Thursday. The Canadiens open this contest at -225 while the Senators are priced at +188. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Senators will need a bounce back game after taking a 4 - 2 defeat to the Oilers in their previous game. The Senators had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this loss. For the outing, they scored on 2 out of the 25 shots they attempted. In addition, they had 5 power play chances but weren't able to score. Ottawa ended up with 4 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Senators was 47 and the Corsi against was 48 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 49.5%. Their Fenwick sat at 33 while the Fenwick against sat at 29, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 53.2%. They won 28 face-off wins and lost 22 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 42.4% and they had a PDO of 91.3 for this one. Regarding their opponent, the Edmonton Oilers put up 25 shots. They finished with a total of 10 minutes in the box and they notched 2 power play attempts.

Ottawa Senators opponents have earned 40 power play tries (6th in the league) and have scored 12 goals in those attempts. The Senators have had 309 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .845. Ottawa has attempted 313 shots and holds a shot percentage of 7.7%. At even strength, the Senators have given up 35 goals while scoring 18 on the offensive side of the ice. Ottawa is sitting with 44 power play opportunities and they have added 6 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 13.64%. For the current season, they sit with 3 points and their points percentage sits at .150. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have tallied 24 goals (21st in the NHL) for the season and have surrendered 48.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Matt Murray. Murray has participated in 206 games over the course of his hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 118-57-20 and got the start in 200 games. The opposition has racked up 533 goals versus Murray in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.73. Murray has had 6,063 shots taken against him and has gathered 5,530 total saves. His save percentage currently is at .912 during his 11,715 mins on the ice. In his professional hockey career, Murray has 101 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .505.

The Canadiens went up against the Canucks in a matchup where the Canadiens got the victory by a mark of 5 - 3. Montreal had a 51.0% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 49 and they conceded a Corsi of 47. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 50.0% by notching a Fenwick of 37 and the Canucks having earned a 37 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Montreal played and it tells us that they played really well in this game. They had a PDO of 111.0 and they earned an oZS percentage of 58.2%. The Canadiens netted 5 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they attempted. They had 4 power play chances in this game but were not able to net one. Regarding the opposition, the Canucks had 3 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Montreal gave up 39 shots on goal and the Canucks had 8 penalty minutes.

Montreal has tried 344 shots (4th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 12.79%, while allowing their opponents 291 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 79.55% on their oppositions 44 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 12.8%. They have recorded 38 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 23.68%. The Canadiens have scored 29 goals at even strength and 9 goals (8th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 26 goals to be scored by way of 16 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice. Over the course of the season, the Montreal Canadiens have a total of 44 goals, 16 points, in addition to a points percentage of .800.

Across the rink you are going to see Carey Price protecting the goal. Price has earned a career mark of 352-250-76 and has played in 688 games. Price's quality start percentage sits at 57.5% and he has qualified for 389 quality starts in his career. He has a tally of 18,739 stops out of the 20,428 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .917. His opponents are averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has surrendered 1,689 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 676 games and has racked up 40,596 minutes.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Montreal (-225) and under 6.5 goals

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