Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 3/8/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Monday, March 8, 2021

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+200) Oilers (-250)

Rogers Place is the venue where Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (15-11-0) will play the Ottawa Senators (8-17-1) on Monday. The Senators open this game at +200 while the Oilers are priced at -250. The total is set at 6.5.

The Senators will look to clean up some issues after taking a 7-3 loss against the Flames their last time on the ice. The Senators had an average offensive performance in the loss. For the game, they finished 3 out of the 32 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 6 power play attempts and scored 1 goal. Ottawa accumulated 12 minutes in the box in this outing. The Corsi for the Senators came in at 42 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 40 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 51.2%. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick Against sat at 32, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 51.5%. They earned 24 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 23 attempts to gain puck control. Their offensive zone starts came in at 33.3% and their PDO was 82.1 in this one.

Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 80 power play opportunities (9th in professional hockey) and have notched 21 goals in those attempts. The Senators have had 816 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .875. Ottawa has attempted 845 shots and has a shot percentage of 8.2%. When playing at even strength, the Senators have surrendered 81 goals while getting 55 when they are on offense. Ottawa is sitting with 93 power play chances and they have scored 14 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 15.05%. For the current season, the have a total of 17 points and their points % is .327. In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have earned 69 goals (16th in pro hockey) this season and have given up 102.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Matt Murray. Murray has taken the ice for 219 games over the course of his NHL career. He has compiled an overall mark of 123-64-20 and he has started in 211 games. The opposition has racked up 568 goals versus Murray in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.75. Murray has seen 6,415 shot attempts against him and he has 5,847 saves. His save percentage currently is at .911 for his 12,382 minutes played. Over the course of his pro career, Murray has accrued 108 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .512.

The last time they were on the ice, Edmonton went up against the Flames in a game where the Oilers earned a victory by a mark of 3-2. They had 2 power play attempts in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Oilers tallied 3 goals of the 33 shots on goal they took. Their PDO was 107 and their percentage of oZS was 60.0%. Edmonton wrapped up this game with a 53.8% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Edmonton had and we'd say they played an average game. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.6% by notching a Fenwick of 34 and the Flames having accrued a 36 Fenwick at even strength.

Edmonton has taken 800 shots (3rd in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.38%, while allowing the other team 835 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 75.90% on the other teams 83 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 90.4%. They have recorded 87 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 25.29%. The Oilers have accumulated 61 goals at even strength and 22 goals (4th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 80 goals to be scored by of a combination of 60 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they were shorthanded. For the year, the Edmonton Oilers have notched a total of 83 goals, 30 points, as well as a points percentage of .577.

Across the rink you will find Mike Smith protecting the goal. Smith has a career mark of 269-250-74 and has participated in 621 contests. Smith's percentage of quality starts sits at 53.1% and he has accumulated 308 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He is sitting with 16,504 stops out of 18,102 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .912. His opposition is averaging 2.71 goals per contest and he has conceded 1,598 goals overall. He has started in 580 games and has accumulated 35,434 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (-250)

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