Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 3/12/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Friday, March 12, 2021

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+193) Oilers (-215)

Rogers Place is the venue where Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (17-11-0) will take on the Ottawa Senators (9-19-1) on Friday. The Senators open this matchup at +193 while the Oilers are priced at -215. The over/under opens at 6.5.

The Senators will need a bounce back game after taking a 7-1 loss against the Oilers their last time out. The Senators didn't have a great showing offensively in the defeat. For the matchup, they scored on 1 of the 22 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 1 power play opportunity but weren't able to convert it into a goal. Ottawa accounted for 2 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Senators was 42 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 44 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 48.8%. Their Fenwick was 27 and the Fenwick Against sat at 37, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 42.2%. They compiled 22 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 30 attempts to take control of the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 58.8% and they had a PDO of 87.5 for this game.

Regarding their scoring, the Ottawa Senators have notched 75 goals (16th in the league) on the campaign and have surrendered 115. For the year, they have recorded 19 points and their points percentage is sitting at .328. Ottawa comes into tonight with 98 power play opportunities and they have added 14 goals out of those chances, giving them a rate of 14.29%. While playing at even strength, the Senators have surrendered 90 goals while scoring 61 themselves. Ottawa has tried 917 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 8.2%. The Senators have had 923 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .875. Ottawa Senators opponents have earned 95 power play opportunities (2nd in the league) and have tallied 25 goals in those attempts.

The man in goal for this game is Matt Murray. Murray has taken the ice for 221 games over the course of his pro hockey career. He has earned an overall record of 124-65-20 and he was named the starter in 213 games. Opponents have tallied 578 goals versus Murray in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.77. Murray has had 6,485 shots against him and has garnered 5,907 saves. His save percentage sits at .911 for his 12,507 mins in the crease. For his professional hockey career, Murray has accounted for 109 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .512.

In their win over Ottawa, Edmonton had 4 opportunities on the power play in this one and tallied 2 out of those chances. The Oilers recorded 7 goals of the 36 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 113 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 41.2%. Edmonton went home with a 51.2% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Edmonton played and they showed up in this game. Their Fenwick rate came in at 57.8% by earning a Fenwick of 37 and the Senators ending the game with a 27 Fenwick at even strength.

Edmonton has put up 873 shots (3rd in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 10.65%, while allowing the other team 885 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 76.74% on their oppositions 86 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 90.6%. They have a tally of 94 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 26.60%. The Oilers are sitting with 68 goals at even strength and 25 goals (3rd in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have permitted 83 goals to be scored by of a combination of 63 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they were shorthanded. On the year, the Edmonton Oilers have accumulated 93 goals, 34 points, and a points percentage of .607.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Mike Smith protecting the goal. He has accrued 16,525 saves out of 18,124 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .912. Smith has earned a career record of 270-250-74 and has been in goal for 622 games. He has made the start in 581 games and has played for a total of 35,494 minutes. Smith's quality start percentage comes out to 53.2% and he has made 309 quality starting assignments in his pro career. Teams are averaging 2.70 goals/game and he has surrendered 1,599 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+193)

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