Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 3/10/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Wednesday, March 10, 2021

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: TVAS

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+210) Oilers (-250)

Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (9-18-1) travel to Rogers Place on Wednesday where they'll take on the Edmonton Oilers (16-11-0). The line on this game has the Senators coming in at +210 and the Oilers are at -250. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Senators had a rough game after their 3-2 defeat to the Oilers in their last game. The Senators had a below average offensive performance in the loss. In the game, they earned a goal on 2 out of the 28 shots they tried. They also had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Ottawa tallied 11 mins in the box in this contest. The Corsi for the Senators was 59 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 59 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 50.0%. Their Fenwick came in at 40 and the Fenwick against was 44, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 47.6%. They accumulated 16 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to gain puck control. When starting in the offensive zone they were at 34.6% and they had a PDO of 101.2 for this game.

The Senators have had 887 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .878. While playing at even strength, the Senators have conceded 85 goals while having 60 on the offensive side of the ice. Ottawa Senators opponents have tallied 91 power play tries (3rd in hockey) and have scored 23 goals in those chances. For the current season, they have earned 19 points and their points percentage is .339. Ottawa has attempted 895 shots and holds a shot percentage of 8.3%. With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 74 goals (13th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have conceded 108. Ottawa steps onto the ice with 97 power play opportunities and they have scored 14 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 14.43%.

The man in net for this game is Matt Murray. Murray has taken the ice for 220 games over the course of his NHL career. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 124-64-20 and he started in 212 games. Opponents have notched 571 goals versus Murray in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.75. Murray has seen 6,449 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 5,878 total saves. His save percentage sits at .911 for his 12,447 minutes played. For his career, Murray has accounted for 109 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .514.

In their win over Ottawa, the Oilers had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing and recorded 1 out of those tries. The Oilers earned 3 goals of the 37 shots on goal they took. They had a PDO at even strength of 99 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 65.4%. Edmonton earned a 50.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Edmonton had and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 52.4% by accumulating a Fenwick of 44 and the Senators ending the game with a 40 Fenwick.

The Oilers have tallied 63 goals at even strength and 23 goals (5th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. Edmonton has taken 837 shots (3rd in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 10.27%, while allowing the other team 863 shots. On the season, the Edmonton Oilers have accounted for 86 goals, 32 points, as well as a points percentage of .593. They have a tally of 90 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 25.56%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 76.47% on their oppositions 85 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.5%. They have permitted 82 goals to be scored by of a combination of 62 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they were shorthanded.

For the opposition you will find Mike Smith patrolling the crease. Smith has compiled a career record of 269-250-74 and has been in net for 621 games. Smith's quality start percentage is 53.1% and he has 308 quality starts in his hockey career. He has tallied 16,504 stops out of 18,102 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .912. His opposition is averaging 2.71 goals per game and he has allowed 1,598 goals in total. He has started in 580 games and has played for a total of 35,434 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (-250)

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