Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 1/31/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Sunday, January 31, 2021

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+123) Oilers (-143)

Mikko Koskinen and the Edmonton Oilers (3-6-0) host the Ottawa Senators (1-6-1) at Rogers Place on Sunday. The Oilers open this game at -143 while the Senators are coming in at +123. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Senators will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4 - 1 loss against the Canucks in their last game. The Senators had a below average offensive outing in this loss. In the game, they netted 1 of the 37 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 5 power play chances but weren't able to net one. Ottawa had a total of 15 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 55 and the Corsi against was 43 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 56.1%. Their Fenwick sat at 38 while the Fenwick against sat at 35, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 52.1%. They earned 15 face-off wins and were beaten on 17 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 51.6% and they had a PDO of 89.8 for this one. Concerning opponent stats, the Vancouver Canucks racked up a total of 25 shots. They had 17 minutes in the box and they had 4 power play chances.

Ottawa Senators opponents have earned 33 power play opportunities (5th in pro hockey) and have notched 8 goals in those chances. The Senators have had 253 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .858. Ottawa has taken 250 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 6.8%. While playing at even strength, the Senators have allowed 27 goals while getting 13 when they are on offense. Ottawa has compiled 34 power play chances and they have added 4 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 11.76%. For the current campaign, the have a total of 3 points and their points % is .188. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have notched 17 goals (23rd in pro hockey) for the season and have allowed 36.

The man in goal for this game is Matt Murray. Opponents have notched 530 goals against Murray in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.72. Murray has been involved in 205 contests over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .912 for his 11,707 minutes played. He has earned a mark of 118-57-20 and he started in 199 games. Over the course of his career, Murray has recorded 101 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .508. Murray has had 6,054 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 5,524 saves.

The Oilers went up against the Maple Leafs in a matchup where the Oilers took a loss by a tally of 4 - 3. Edmonton earned a 56.4% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 44 and they conceded a Corsi of 34. Their Fenwick rate was 57.6% by notching a Fenwick of 34 and the Maple Leafs finishing with a 25 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Edmonton had and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either. Their PDO was 92.0 and they earned an oZS percentage of 61.7%. The Oilers scored 3 goals of the 29 shots on goal they pursued. They had 7 power play opportunities in this one and were able to convert 2 out of those chances. Concerning the opposition, the Maple Leafs had 4 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 2 goals. Edmonton gave way to 27 shots on goal and the Maple Leafs ended up with a total of 14 penalty mins.

Edmonton has attempted 285 shots (2nd in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.12%, while allowing the other team 298 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 72.41% on their opponents 29 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 9.1%. They have recorded 35 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 20.00%. The Oilers have 17 goals at even strength and 7 goals (12th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 33 goals to be scored by way of 23 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Edmonton Oilers have earned a total of 26 goals, 6 points, in addition to a points percentage of .333.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Mikko Koskinen protecting the net. Koskinen is sitting with a career record of 48-41-9 and has participated in 106 games. Koskinen's percentage of quality starts comes out to 48.5% and he has qualified for 47 quality starting assignments in his career. He is sitting with 2,851 saves out of the 3,140 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .908. His opposition is averaging 2.97 goals per contest and he has conceded 289 goals overall. He has started in 97 contests and has been on the ice for 5,848 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (-143)

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