Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 10/29/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars

Date: Friday, October 29, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+149) Stars (-165)

Anton Forsberg and the Ottawa Senators head to American Airlines Center on Friday where they'll meet the Dallas Stars. The Stars open this matchup at -165 while the Senators are priced at +149. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Senators were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 7-5 defeat against the Capitals in their last game. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 57.0% and their PDO rating was 90.0 in this game. They garnered 40 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 24 opportunities to gain puck control. Their Fenwick came in at 38 and the Fenwick Against sat at 40, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 48.7%. The Corsi for the Senators was 49 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 56 which means they had a Corsi rate of 46.7%. Ottawa recorded 16 penalty mins in this game. They also had 3 attempts on the power play and were able to net 1 goal. The Senators had a solid offensive outing and it was apparent in the loss. For the game, they converted 5 of the 37 shots they tried.

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Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 15 goals (25th in the National Hockey League) for the season and have surrendered 19. For the season, they have scored 4 points and their points percentage comes in at .333. Ottawa has accumulated 19 power play chances and they have tallied 5 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 26.32%. While at even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 15 goals while having 10 as an offensive unit. Ottawa has attempted 180 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 8.3%. The Senators have had 192 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .901. Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 18 power play opportunities (22nd in the NHL) and have earned 4 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anton Forsberg. Over the course of his time in hockey, Forsberg has tallied 23 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .434. His save percentage is .901 during his 2,937 mins played. Forsberg has had 1,632 shots taken against him and he has 1,471 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 161 goals versus Forsberg in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 3.29. He has amassed a win-loss record of 16-31-5 and he has started in 53 games. Forsberg has played in 60 games during his hockey career.

In their last contest, Dallas opposed the Golden Knights in an outing where the Stars went home in defeat by a final of 3-2. They had 1 power play chance in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Stars tallied 2 goals of the 34 shots on goal they took. Their PDO at even strength was 90 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 62.1%. Dallas wound up with a 55.6% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Dallas played and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 64.4% by tallying a Fenwick of 47 and the Golden Knights finishing with a 26 Fenwick.

The Stars have scored 10 goals at even strength and 3 goals (23rd in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. Dallas has attempted 206 shots (14th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 6.31%, while allowing the other team 220 shots. This season, the Dallas Stars have accounted for 13 goals, 7 points, and a points percentage of .500. They have recorded 18 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 16.67%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 85.71% on their oppositions 21 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 91.8%. They have granted a total of 18 goals to be scored by of a combination of 15 goals at even strength and 3 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you are likely to see Braden Holtby in net. Holtby is the owner of a lifetime mark of 291-135-49 and has participated in 494 contests. Holtby's quality start percentage sits at 57.2% and he has accumulated 277 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has compiled 13,125 stops out of 14,345 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .915. Opponents are averaging 2.58 goals per game and he has relinquished 1,220 goals altogether. He has started in 484 contests and has accumulated 28,382 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+149)

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