Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 3/7/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames

Date: Sunday, March 7, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Calgary, AB

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+170) Flames (-208)

Scotiabank Arena is the site where David Rittich and the Calgary Flames (11-11-2) will play the Ottawa Senators (8-17-1) on Sunday. The Flames open this contest at -208 while the Senators are priced at +170. The O/U has been set at 6.5.

The Senators had a rough game after their 7-3 loss to the Flames in their previous outing. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 33.3% and they had a PDO of 82.1 for this game. They had a tally of 24 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 23 attempts to win the face-off. Their Fenwick came in at 34 and the Fenwick against finished at 32, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 51.5%. The Corsi for the Senators came in at 42 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 40 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 51.2%. Ottawa recorded 12 minutes in the box in this game. Furthermore, they had 6 power play tries and were able to notch 1 goal. The Senators played like an average offensive team in this defeat. In the outing, they scored on 3 out of the 32 shots they attempted.

The Senators have had 816 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .875. At even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 81 goals while having 55 of their own. Ottawa Senators opponents have 80 power play tries (7th in pro hockey) and have scored 21 goals in those chances. For the season, they have 17 points and their points percentage is sitting at .327. Ottawa has attempted 845 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 8.2%. Pertaining to scoring goals, the Ottawa Senators have notched 69 goals (12th in the NHL) on the year and have surrendered 102. Ottawa has 93 power play opportunities and they have scored 14 goals during those chances, earning them a percentage of 15.05%.

The player in the crease for this game is Matt Murray. Over the course of his pro career, Murray has 108 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .512. His save percentage is at .911 during his 12,382 mins in the crease. Murray has seen 6,415 shots taken against him and has accrued 5,847 saves. The opposition has been able to score 568 goals versus Murray in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.75. He has earned an overall mark of 123-64-20 and he was named the starter in 211 games. Murray has played in 219 games over the course of his NHL career.

In their win over Ottawa, Calgary had 1 attempt on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal. The Flames converted 7 goals of the 29 shots on goal they took. Their PDO was 118 and their percentage of oZS was 66.7%. Calgary had a 48.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Calgary played and they looked like the better team in this game. Their Fenwick rate was 48.5% by tallying a Fenwick of 32 and the Senators finishing with a 34 Fenwick at even strength.

During this campaign, the Calgary Flames have accumulated 65 goals, 24 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have allowed 73 goals to be scored by of a combination of 55 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they were shorthanded. The Flames have 47 goals at even strength and 18 goals (9th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 84 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 21.43%. Calgary has tried 703 shots (13th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 9.25%, while allowing the other team 747 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 78.82% on their opponents 85 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.2%.

On the other side of the ice you will find David Rittich in net. He has a tally of 3,185 saves out of 3,509 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .908. Rittich has amassed a career mark of 62-37-15 and has been in goal for 126 contests. He has started in 115 games and has accumulated 6,875 mins. Rittich's rate of quality starts sits at 55.7% and he has accumulated 64 quality starting assignments in his professional career. His opponents are averaging 2.83 goals/game and he has conceded 324 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+170)

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