Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 3/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames

Date: Thursday, March 4, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Calgary, AB

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+165) Flames (-200)

Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (8-16-1) are headed to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Calgary Flames (10-11-2). The Senators open this game at +165 while the Flames are coming in at -200. The O/U has been set at 6.5.

The Senators were on the losing side of the ice with a 3-1 defeat against the Canadiens in their last game. The Corsi for the Senators was 36 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 52 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 40.9%. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 39.4% and their PDO was 100.2 for this one. Ottawa accumulated 6 penalty minutes for this game. The Senators had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this defeat. Their Fenwick was 28 and the Fenwick against was 31, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 47.5%. They garnered 28 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 15 opportunities to win the puck. Additionally, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. In the game, they scored on 1 of the 27 shots they tried.

In terms of their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 66 goals (12th in hockey) so far this year and have surrendered 95. For the current campaign, they have recorded 17 points and their points percentage sits at .340. Ottawa has accumulated 87 power play chances and they have scored 13 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 14.94%. When playing at even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 74 goals while scoring 53 of their own. Ottawa has taken 813 shots and has a shot percentage of 8.1%. The Senators have had 787 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .879. Ottawa Senators opponents have amassed 79 power play opportunities (5th in pro hockey) and have scored 21 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Matt Murray. Over the course of his career, Murray has accrued 108 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .514. He has a save percentage of .912 in his 12,362 mins in the crease. Murray has had 6,404 shots taken against him and has recorded 5,840 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 564 goals against Murray in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.74. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 123-63-20 and he started in 210 games. Murray has participated in 218 games throughout his NHL career.

In their last game, Calgary faced the Senators in a game where the Flames ended up losing by a score of 5-1. They had 3 power play opportunities in this game and netted 1 out of those chances. The Flames notched 1 goal out of the 28 shots on goal they pursued. They had a PDO of 84 and their percentage of oZS was 60.6%. Calgary had a 43.6% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Calgary played and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing. Their Fenwick rate came in at 37.5% with a Fenwick of 30 and the Senators having racked up a 50 Fenwick at even strength.

So far this year, the Calgary Flames have accumulated 58 goals, 22 points, as well as a points percentage of .478. They have allowed 70 goals to be scored by way of 53 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Flames have earned 40 goals at even strength and 18 goals (8th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have recorded 83 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 21.69%. Calgary has taken 674 shots (13th in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.61%, while allowing the other team 715 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 78.48% on their oppositions 79 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 90.2%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Jacob Markstrom protecting the net. Markstrom has amassed a career mark of 118-124-33 and has participated in 287 games. Markstrom's quality start percentage comes out to 51.7% and he has 140 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has gathered 7,747 stops out of the 8,508 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .911. His opponents are averaging 2.81 goals/game and he has allowed 761 goals altogether. He was named a starter in 271 games and has racked up 16,266 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+165)

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