New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 11/18/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Thursday, November 18, 2021
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
TV: Sportsnet
Odds/Point Spread: Rangers (+135) Maple Leafs (-167)
Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (11-5-1) play the New York Rangers (10-3-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers priced at +135 and the Maple Leafs are at -167. The over/under is set at 6.
The Rangers were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 victory over the Canadiens in their previous outing. The Rangers were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the win. In the game, they converted 3 out of the 34 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score. New York amassed 26 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Rangers came in at 56 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 67 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 45.5%. Their Fenwick was 47 and the Fenwick against finished at 44, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 51.6%. They recorded 21 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 26 attempts to win the face-off. Their offensive zone starts came in at 64.1% and their PDO rating was 103.1 for this matchup.
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The Rangers have had 536 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .916. When playing at even strength, the Rangers have allowed the opponent to score 35 goals while having 34 themselves. New York Rangers opponents have totaled 49 power play tries (11th in the league) and have notched 10 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, the have a total of 23 points and their points percentage is sitting at .719. New York has taken 450 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.8%. When discussing their scoring, the New York Rangers have notched 44 goals (13th in the National Hockey League) for the year and have given up 45. New York has accounted for 50 power play opportunities and they have added 10 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 20.00%.
Patrolling the crease for the game will be Igor Shesterkin. Opponents have notched 141 goals against Shesterkin in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.56. Shesterkin has been in goal for 59 games during his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .923 in his 3,311 mins between the pipes. He has amassed an overall mark of 34-18-5 and he started in 55 games. In his professional hockey career, Shesterkin has 38 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .691. Shesterkin has seen 1,824 shot attempts against him and has recorded 1,683 total saves.
The last time they were on the ice, Toronto faced the Predators in a matchup where the Maple Leafs took home the win by a score of 3-0. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this contest and netted 1 goal out of those chances. The Maple Leafs recorded 3 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO at even strength was 107 and their percentage of oZS was 41.4%. Toronto wound up with a 57.3% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Toronto played and it tells us they had an average game overall. They had a Fenwick percentage of 55.4% with a Fenwick of 41 and the Predators finishing with a 33 Fenwick at even strength.
On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 46 goals, 23 points, and a points percentage of .676. They have permitted 42 goals to be scored by of a combination of 36 goals at even strength and 6 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have earned 34 goals at even strength and 12 goals (4th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 48 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 25.00%. Toronto has tried 580 shots (1st in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 7.93%, while allowing their opponents 514 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 87.50% on their opponents 48 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 91.8%.
Across the ice you are likely to see Jack Campbell patrolling the crease. Campbell is sitting with a lifetime record of 49-33-9 and has played in 100 contests. Campbell's quality start rate comes out to 58.2% and he has 53 quality starts in his NHL career. He has racked up 2,554 stops out of 2,773 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .921. Opponents are averaging 2.36 goals per game and he has allowed 219 goals altogether. He has been a starter 91 games and has been on the ice for 5,577 minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take New York (+135)
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Additional Resources:
Toronto Maple Leafs - Twitter
New York Rangers - Twitter