New York Rangers vs New York Islanders Prediction, 4/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Rangers vs New York Islanders

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Rangers (+105) Islanders (-135)

Igor Shesterkin and the New York Rangers (19-16-5) head to Barclays Center on Sunday where they'll take on the New York Islanders (26-11-4). The Islanders open this matchup at -135 while the Rangers are coming in at +105. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Rangers went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-1 victory over the Islanders in their last contest. The Rangers had a impressive offensive performance in this win. For the matchup, they earned a goal on 4 of the 36 shots they tried. They also had 1 power play attempt but weren't able to score a goal. New York had 2 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Corsi for the Rangers came in at 51 and the Corsi against was 56 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 47.7%. Their Fenwick was 41 and the Fenwick against was 41, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They accrued 27 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 29 opportunities to gain puck control. The offensive zone starts for them were at 46.9% and they had a PDO of 108.0 in this one.

The Rangers have had 1,164 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .908. At even strength, the Rangers have given up 88 goals while having 102 on offense. New York Rangers opponents have totaled 122 power play opportunities (16th in pro hockey) and have scored 19 goals in those chances. For the year, they have recorded 43 points and their points % is .538. New York has taken 1,180 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.0%. In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the New York Rangers have racked up 130 goals (8th in hockey) over the course of the season and have given up 107. New York has 141 power play chances and they have scored 28 goals during those chances, giving them a rate of 19.86%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Igor Shesterkin. Shesterkin has played in 34 games over the course of his pro hockey career. He has amassed an overall record of 20-11-2 and he started in 32 games. Opponents have scored 79 goals against Shesterkin in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.47. Shesterkin has seen 1,058 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 979 total saves. He has a save percentage of .925 during his 1,922 minutes played. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Shesterkin has 23 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .719.

In their loss to the Rangers, the Islanders had a PDO at even strength of 92 and their oZS percentage was 53.4%. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick rate was 50.0% by compiling a Fenwick of 41 and the Rangers ending the game with a 41 Fenwick at even strength. The Islanders netted 1 goal of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking. New York earned a 52.3% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game New York had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing.

For the year, the New York Islanders are sitting with 118 goals, 56 points, in addition to a points percentage of .683. They have allowed 95 goals to be scored by of a combination of 76 goals at even strength and 19 goals while they were shorthanded. The Islanders have earned 98 goals at even strength and 20 goals (24th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 110 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 18.18%. New York has tried 1,205 shots (13th in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.79%, while allowing their opponents 1,133 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 81.00% on their oppositions 100 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 91.6%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Semyon Varlamov defending the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.65 goals per game and he has given up 1,316 goals altogether. Varlamov's quality start rate sits at 55.9% and he has 278 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has made the start in 497 contests and has played 29,845 mins. Varlamov has compiled a career record of 248-191-59 and has participated in 521 games. He has a tally of 14,301 saves out of 15,617 shots tried, which gives him a percentage of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rangers (+105)

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