New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 3/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals

Date: Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: NBC Sports Washington

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+102) Capitals (-122)

Capital One Arena is the venue where Ilya Samsonov and the Washington Capitals (17-6-4) will play the New York Islanders (18-6-4) on Tuesday. The Capitals open this game at -122 while the Islanders are priced at +102. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Islanders came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 victory over the Devils in the last game they played. The Islanders had an average offensive performance in this win. In the outing, they scored on 3 of the 34 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to make the most of them. New York compiled 10 minutes in the box in this contest. The Corsi for the Islanders was sitting at 44 and the Corsi against was 38 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 53.7%. Their Fenwick was 39 and the Fenwick against was 32, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 54.9%. They compiled 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 26 attempts to win the face-off. Their offensive zone starts were at 59.6% and they had a PDO of 103.6 for this game.

The Islanders have had 767 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .920. At even strength, the Islanders have conceded 50 goals while notching 66 as an offensive unit. New York Islanders opponents have tallied 66 power play tries (30th in the NHL) and have notched 11 goals in those attempts. For the current season, they have accumulated 40 points and their points percentage sits at .714. New York has tried 841 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.8%. Pertaining to their scoring, the New York Islanders have tallied 82 goals (14th in the NHL) over the course of the season and have given up 61. New York comes into tonight with 77 power play chances and they have notched 16 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 20.78%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Semyon Varlamov. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Varlamov is sitting with 275 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .561. His save percentage currently sits at .916 for his 29,401 mins guarding the cage. Varlamov has had 15,413 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 14,117 saves. The opposition has notched 1,296 goals against Varlamov in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.64. He has compiled an overall mark of 245-187-59 and he started in 490 games. Varlamov has played in 513 games over the course of his NHL career.

In their last contest, Washington played the Flyers in a matchup where the Capitals earned a victory by a mark of 5-4. Their PDO was 110 and they had an oZS percentage of 29.9%. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing and scored 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 40.6% by amassing a Fenwick of 28 and the Flyers finishing with a 41 Fenwick. The Capitals netted 5 goals of the 23 shots on goal they pursued. Washington went home with a 38.5% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Washington played and they looked like the better team in this game.

Washington has tried 768 shots (22nd in the league) and has a shot percentage of 11.98%, while allowing their opponents 808 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 81.40% on their opponents 86 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.5%. They have a tally of 67 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 26.87%. The Capitals have earned 74 goals at even strength and 18 goals (15th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 85 goals to be scored by of a combination of 69 goals at even strength and 16 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the campaign, the Washington Capitals have earned 92 goals, 38 points, as well as a points percentage of .704.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Ilya Samsonov in net. Opponents are averaging 2.60 goals per contest and he has yielded 78 goals overall. Samsonov's quality start rate sits at 53.6% and he has earned 15 quality starts in his professional career. He has started in 28 games and has racked up 1,800 mins. Samsonov is the owner of a lifetime mark of 21-6-3 and has played in 33 contests. He has accounted for 794 saves out of 872 shots attempted, giving him a save percentage of .911.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Washington (-122)

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