New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 6/21/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, June 21, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+138) Lightning (-167)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) host the New York Islanders (32-17-7) at Amalie Arena on Monday. The Lightning open this game at -167 while the Islanders are priced at +138. The O/U has been set at 5.5.

The Islanders were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 win over the Lightning in Game 4. The Corsi for the Islanders came in at 44 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 57 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 43.6%. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 38.5% and they had a PDO of 105.1 in this one. New York amassed 8 minutes in the box for this contest. The Islanders had a middle of the road showing in the victory. Their Fenwick came in at 37 and the Fenwick against was 41, giving them a Fenwick rate of 47.4%. They accumulated 23 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 19 opportunities to take control of the puck. In addition, they had 3 chances with the advantage but weren't able to net one. In the game, they tallied a score on 3 of the 30 shots they put on goal.

The Islanders have had 1,590 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .921. At even strength, the Islanders have allowed the opponent to score 103 goals while notching 125 themselves. New York Islanders opponents have totaled 135 power play opportunities (30th in professional hockey) and have tallied 22 goals in those attempts. For the year, they have accumulated 71 points and their points percentage is sitting at .634. New York has tried 1,623 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 9.4%. When discussing their scoring capabilities, the New York Islanders have notched 152 goals (21st in hockey) on the campaign and have given up 125. New York skates onto the rink with 144 power play opportunities and they have added 27 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 18.75%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Semyon Varlamov. Varlamov has been involved in 529 games during his NHL career. He has amassed an overall mark of Career and he was named the starter in 505 games. Opponents have tallied 1,327 goals against Varlamov in his professional career and his goals against average per game is 2.63. Varlamov has seen 15,859 shots against him and he has 14,532 total saves. His save percentage is at .916 during his 30,305 mins in the crease. Over the course of his career, Varlamov has 286 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .566.

In their Game 4 loss, Tampa Bay went home with a 56.4% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and we're sure they will look for better performances in the future. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 52.6% by compiling a Fenwick of 41 and the Islanders having accrued a 37 Fenwick. Their PDO was 95 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 61.5%. The Lightning notched 2 goals of the 30 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one but didn't score a goal.

The Lightning have accumulated 140 goals at even strength and 40 goals (4th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. Tampa Bay has put up 1,692 shots (9th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 10.64%, while allowing their opponents 1,583 shots. On the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 180 goals, 75 points, in addition to a points percentage of .670. They have a total of 180 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 22.22%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 84.15% on their opponents 183 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.8%. They have allowed 145 goals to be scored by way of 116 goals at even strength and 29 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the net. His opponents are averaging 2.51 goals per contest and he has relinquished 736 goals in total. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts comes out to 56.2% and he has accumulated 164 quality starts in his NHL career. He has started in 292 contests and has played for a total of 17,629 mins. Vasilevskiy has amassed a career mark of Career and has participated in 302 games. He is sitting with 8,435 saves out of 9,171 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .920.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+138)

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