New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 3/29/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Monday, March 29, 2021

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (-107) Penguins (-103)

Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (22-9-4) head to PPG Paints Arena on Monday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (22-11-2). The Islanders open this matchup at -107 while the Penguins are priced at -103. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

The Islanders will need a bounce back game after taking a 6-3 loss against the Penguins in their previous outing. The Islanders had a middle of the road offensive outing in the loss. In the outing, they tallied a score on 3 of the 32 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice but didn't convert them into a score. New York amassed 8 mins in the box for this matchup. The Corsi for the Islanders was sitting at 35 and the Corsi against was 35 which means they had a Corsi rate of 50.0%. Their Fenwick was 31 and the Fenwick against was 23, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 57.4%. They had 19 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 23 attempts to win the face-off. Their offensive zone starts came in at 64.2% and their PDO was 88.0 for this one.

New York Islanders opponents have 89 power play opportunities (27th in hockey) and have tallied 17 goals in those chances. The Islanders have had 965 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .916. New York has tried 1,029 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.0%. When at even strength, the Islanders have allowed the opponent to score 64 goals while having 85 on offense. New York has 93 power play chances and they have tallied 18 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 19.35%. For the season, they have 48 points and their points percentage is sitting at .686. When it comes to scoring goals, the New York Islanders have accounted for 103 goals (11th in the National Hockey League) this season and have given up 81.

The player in the crease for this game is Semyon Varlamov. Opponents have scored 1,307 goals against Varlamov in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.65. Varlamov has played in 517 contests throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage sits at .916 during his 29,609 minutes guarding the cage. He has compiled a win-loss record of 246-189-59 and he was named the starter in 493 games. For his career, Varlamov has 275 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .558. Varlamov has seen 15,509 shots taken against him and has accrued 14,202 saves.

In their win over New York, the Penguins PDO was 112 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 36.2%. They had 4 power play opportunities in this matchup and scored 2 out of those tries. They had a Fenwick percentage of 42.6% by compiling a Fenwick of 23 and the Islanders finishing with a 31 Fenwick. The Penguins scored 6 goals of the 21 shots on goal they attempted. Pittsburgh went home with a 50.0% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Pittsburgh played and they played a solid game.

The Penguins are sitting with 91 goals at even strength and 21 goals (17th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. Pittsburgh has attempted 1,041 shots (10th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.76%, while allowing their opponents 1,051 shots. On the year, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a total of 112 goals, 46 points, in addition to a points percentage of .657. They have earned 103 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 20.39%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 78.30% on their opponents 106 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 91.2%. They have permitted 93 goals to be scored by of a combination of 70 goals at even strength and 23 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the rink you are likely to see Tristan Jarry in the crease. His opponents are averaging 2.67 goals/game and he has surrendered 217 goals in total. Jarry's percentage of quality starts is 60.5% and he has earned 49 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has started in 81 contests and has played for a total of 4,871 mins. Jarry is the owner of a career mark of 48-28-6 and has participated in 86 contests. He has accrued 2,269 saves out of the 2,486 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .913.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-103)

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