New York Islanders vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/22/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: New York Islanders vs Philadelphia Flyers
Date: Monday, March 22, 2021
Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA
TV: MSG+
Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (-111) Flyers (-105)
Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (20-8-4) are headed to Wells Fargo Center on Monday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Flyers (15-11-3). The Islanders open this game at -111 while the Flyers are coming in at -105. The O/U opens at 5.5.
The Islanders were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6-1 win over the Flyers in their previous outing. The Islanders had a impressive offensive outing in this win. While out there on the ice, they scored on 6 of the 28 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 2 power play tries and notched 1 goal. New York compiled 9 penalty minutes in this contest. The Corsi for the Islanders came in at 47 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 36 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 56.6%. Their Fenwick came in at 34 and the Fenwick against finished at 26, giving them a Fenwick rate of 56.7%. They accounted for 21 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 13 opportunities to win the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 38.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 114.2 in this game.
In regard to scoring goals, the New York Islanders have earned 94 goals (12th in the National Hockey League) this season and have given up 71. For the current season, they have racked up 44 points and their points percentage is .688. New York skates onto the rink with 87 power play chances and they have scored 18 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 20.69%. When playing at even strength, the Islanders have given up 57 goals while earning 76 when they are on offense. New York has tried 950 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 9.9%. The Islanders have had 875 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .919. New York Islanders opponents have tallied 79 power play tries (27th in pro hockey) and have notched 14 goals in those chances.
The player protecting the goal in this game is Semyon Varlamov. The opposition has racked up 1,303 goals against Varlamov in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.65. Varlamov has played in 515 games over the course of his professional hockey career. He has a save percentage of .916 for his 29,517 mins on the ice. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 245-189-59 and he was named the starter in 492 games. Over the course of his pro career, Varlamov has tallied 275 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .559. Varlamov has seen 15,466 shot attempts against him and he has 14,163 total saves.
In their loss to New York, Philadelphia went home with a 43.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Philadelphia had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 43.3% by earning a Fenwick of 26 and the Islanders earning a 34 Fenwick. Their PDO at even strength was 86 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 61.1%. The Flyers recorded 1 goal out of the 24 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal.
The Flyers have accumulated 73 goals at even strength and 19 goals (16th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. Philadelphia has put up 810 shots (28th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.36%, while allowing their opponents 859 shots. On the year, the Philadelphia Flyers have tallied 92 goals, 33 points, as well as a points percentage of .569. They have a total of 100 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 19.00%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 74.16% on their opponents 89 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 88.0%. They have allowed 103 goals to be scored by of a combination of 80 goals at even strength and 23 goals while they were shorthanded.
Across the ice you are likely to see Carter Hart in the crease. His opponents are averaging 2.85 goals per game and he has relinquished 244 goals overall. Hart's quality start percentage sits at 51.1% and he has qualified for 45 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has made the start in 88 games and has racked up 5,138 mins. Hart has accrued a career record of 48-33-7 and has participated in 94 contests. He has accounted for 2,376 saves out of the 2,620 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .907.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take New York (-111)
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Additional Resources:
Philadelphia Fylers - Twitter
New York Islanders - Twitter