New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 5/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (-260) Sabres (+220)

Dustin Tokarski and the Buffalo Sabres (13-32-7) play the New York Islanders (31-15-5) at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. The Sabres open this game at +220 while the Islanders are priced at -260. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Islanders had a good night with a 3-0 win over the Rangers in their previous game. The Islanders played like an average offensive team in the win. In the outing, they converted 3 out of the 25 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 1 attempt on the power play but weren't able to convert it into a goal. New York accrued 2 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Islanders was sitting at 51 and the Corsi against was 45 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 53.1%. Their Fenwick came in at 39 and the Fenwick against finished at 31, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 55.7%. They had a tally of 13 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 17 attempts to take control of the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 52.6% and their PDO rating was 112.5 for this one.

When talking about their scoring capabilities, the New York Islanders have accumulated 139 goals (18th in the National Hockey League) for the year and have given up 112. For the current campaign, they have recorded 67 points and their points percentage comes in at .657. New York has 136 power play chances and they have added 25 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 18.38%. When at even strength, the Islanders let the opposition score 92 goals while getting 114 of their own. New York has taken 1,461 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.5%. The Islanders have had 1,432 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .922. New York Islanders opponents have tallied 124 power play opportunities (31st in professional hockey) and have come away with 20 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Sorokin. Opponents have been able to score 41 goals versus Sorokin in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.19. Sorokin has been in goal for 19 matchups during his NHL career. His save percentage is at .918 in his 1,126 minutes in the crease. He has earned an overall mark of 12-6-1 and he started in 19 games. In his career, Sorokin is sitting with 14 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .737. Sorokin has seen 497 shots taken against him and has garnered 456 total saves.

In their last outing, Buffalo faced off against the Bruins in a game where the Sabres ended up losing by a tally of 6-2. They had 2 chances on the power play in this matchup but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Sabres converted 2 goals out of the 19 shots on goal they were seeking. They had a PDO at even strength of 92 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 43.9%. Buffalo earned a 37.2% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Buffalo had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their Fenwick percentage was 34.8% by compiling a Fenwick of 23 and the Bruins having racked up a 43 Fenwick at even strength.

Buffalo has tried 1,469 shots (22nd in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 8.37%, while allowing the opposition 1,748 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.61% on their opponents 134 power play chances, and their save percentage is 89.6%. They have a tally of 136 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 20.59%. The Sabres have accumulated 95 goals at even strength and 28 goals (21st in hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 182 goals to be scored by of a combination of 152 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Buffalo Sabres have earned 123 goals, 33 points, in addition to a points percentage of .317.

For the opposition you will find Dustin Tokarski patrolling the crease. He has racked up 1,161 saves out of the 1,284 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .904. Tokarski has accumulated a career mark of 12-20-7 and has played in 47 contests. He was named a starter in 37 games and has racked up 2,421 mins. Tokarski's quality start percentage sits at 45.9% and he has qualified for 17 quality starting assignments in his career. His opponents are averaging 3.05 goals/game and he has relinquished 123 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (-260)

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