New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 2/15/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres
Date: Monday, February 15, 2021
Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY
TV: NBCSN
Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+110) Sabres (-133)
Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (6-4-3) are headed to KeyBank Center on Monday where they'll meet the Buffalo Sabres (4-4-2). The Sabres open this contest at -133 while the Islanders are coming in at +110. The over/under has been set at 6.5.
The Islanders came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-2 win against the Bruins their last time on the ice. The Islanders had a good offensive outing in the victory. For the outing, they tallied a score on 4 of the 42 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 1 power play try and scored 1 goal. New York garnered 2 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Islanders was 57 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 56 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 50.4%. Their Fenwick was 45 and the Fenwick against was 43, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 51.1%. They tallied 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 37 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 45.5% and they had a PDO of 98.5 in this one.
The Islanders have had 370 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .914. While at even strength, the Islanders have conceded 31 goals while earning 26 on offense. New York Islanders opponents have tallied 33 power play opportunities (30th in the league) and have come away with 6 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have tallied 15 points and their points percentage is .577. New York has attempted 391 shots and has a shooting percentage of 8.2%. When it comes to scoring goals, the New York Islanders have accumulated 32 goals (25th in the NHL) over the course of the season and have surrendered 32. New York has accounted for 42 power play opportunities and they have notched 9 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 21.43%.
The player in the crease for this game is Semyon Varlamov. Opponents have tallied 1,275 goals versus Varlamov in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.66. Varlamov has played in 503 contests over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage is .916 for his 28,793 mins in the crease. He has accumulated an overall record of 238-185-58 and he has gotten the start in 480 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Varlamov has earned 267 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .556. Varlamov has had 15,123 shot attempts against him and has gathered 13,848 total saves.
In their last contest, Buffalo squared up with the Devils in a game where the Sabres ended up losing by a final score of 5-3. Buffalo wrapped up this game with a 43.8% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Buffalo had and it shows us they played like an average team. Their Fenwick percentage was 43.8% with a Fenwick of 39 and the Devils finishing with a 50 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO of 91 and they had an oZS percentage of 40.7%. The Sabres scored 3 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this outing and scored 2 out of those chances.
The Sabres have accumulated 16 goals at even strength and 12 goals (10th in the NHL) while on the power play. Buffalo has taken 322 shots (29th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 8.70%, while allowing the other team 304 shots. On the year, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 28 goals, 10 points, as well as a points percentage of .500. They have earned 39 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 30.77%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 82.61% on their opponents 23 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 8.7%. They have permitted 31 goals to be scored by way of 27 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they had less men on the ice.
For the opposition you are going to see Linus Ullmark defending the net. His opponents are averaging 2.79 goals per game and he has conceded 276 goals overall. Ullmark's quality start percentage sits at 57.1% and he has accumulated 56 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has started in 98 games and his ice time sits at 5,935 mins. Ullmark has accrued a career mark of 44-42-12 and has participated in 103 contests. He has gathered 2,847 stops out of 3,123 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .912.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (-133)
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Additional Resources:
Buffalo Sabres - Twitter
New York Islanders - Twitter