Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/15/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, March 15, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Predators (+264) Lightning (-300)

Pekka Rinne and the Nashville Predators (11-16-1) go to Amalie Arena on Monday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (19-5-2). The Lightning open this game at -300 while the Predators are priced at +264. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Predators will need a bounce back game after taking a 6-3 loss against the Lightning their last time out. The Predators had an average offensive performance in the defeat. For the game, they scored on 3 of the 31 shots they put on goal. Additionally, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to score 1 goal. Nashville accrued 4 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Predators was 47 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 39 which means they had a Corsi rate of 54.7%. Their Fenwick came in at 42 and the Fenwick against was 29, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 59.2%. They accrued 25 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 22 opportunities to win the puck. Their offensive zone starts were at 40.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 86.1 in this one.

The Predators have had 837 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .885. When at even strength, the Predators have allowed 65 goals while getting 47 on the offensive side of the ice. Nashville Predators opponents have tallied 94 power play tries (5th in pro hockey) and have come away with 31 goals in those attempts. For the current season, they have recorded 23 points and their points percentage is sitting at .411. Nashville has taken 880 shots and has a shooting percentage of 7.4%. With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Nashville Predators have tallied 65 goals (26th in pro hockey) on the campaign and have allowed 96. Nashville is sitting with 92 power play chances and they have scored 18 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 19.57%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Pekka Rinne. Opponents have notched 1,590 goals against Rinne in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.44. Rinne has played in 678 contests throughout his hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .917 for his 39,110 mins in the crease. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 365-212-75 and he has gotten the start in 661 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Rinne is sitting with 377 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .570. Rinne has seen 19,064 shots against him and has recorded 17,474 saves.

In their win over Nashville, Tampa Bay earned a 45.3% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Tampa Bay played and it tells us that they played really well in this game. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 40.8% by amassing a Fenwick of 29 and the Predators having accrued a 42 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO at even strength was 114 and they had an oZS percentage of 59.3%. The Lightning scored 6 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one and earned 1 on that opportunity.

Tampa Bay has tried 798 shots (16th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 12.16%, while allowing the other team 725 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 86.67% on the other teams 90 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 91.9%. They have a tally of 90 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 28.89%. The Lightning have earned 71 goals at even strength and 26 goals (5th in the league) while on the power play. They have allowed 59 goals to be scored by of a combination of 47 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning are sitting with 97 goals, 40 points, as well as a points percentage of .769.

For the opposition you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy patrolling the crease. He has recorded 7,847 stops out of the 8,529 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .920. Vasilevskiy has a career mark of 176-76-19 and has participated in 281 contests. He has started in 271 games and his ice time sits at 16,370 mins. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage comes out to 56.8% and he has accumulated 154 quality starts in his career. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals/game and he has allowed 682 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Nashville (+264)

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