Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/8/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, May 8, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+175) Maple Leafs (-210)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (34-13-6) play the Montreal Canadiens (24-20-9) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The Maple Leafs open this game at -210 while the Canadiens are priced at +175. The total has been set at 5.5.

The Canadiens will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 5-2 loss to the Maple Leafs their last time on the ice. The Canadiens had a below average offensive outing in the defeat. For the matchup, they tallied a score on 2 out of the 21 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities but didn't get a goal. Montreal tallied 6 penalty mins for this contest. The Corsi for the Canadiens was sitting at 38 and the Corsi against was 52 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 42.2%. Their Fenwick was 29 and the Fenwick against was 48, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 37.7%. They compiled 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 22 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 61.5% and their PDO was 94.4 for this matchup.

Montreal Canadiens opponents have 166 power play tries (8th in hockey) and have scored 35 goals in those attempts. The Canadiens have had 1,496 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .897. Montreal has taken 1,666 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.0%. When at even strength, the Canadiens let the opposition score 119 goals while having 121 themselves. Montreal has accumulated 145 power play opportunities and they have notched 29 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 20.00%. For the season, they have tallied 57 points and their points percentage is sitting at .538. Concerning their goal scoring prowess, the Montreal Canadiens have racked up 150 goals (16th in the National Hockey League) on the season and have given up 154.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Cayden Primeau. Opponents have been able to score 15 goals against Primeau in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 3.45. Primeau has been in net for 5 games during his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently is at .895 for his 260 mins on the ice. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 2-3-0 and he has started in 5 games. Over the course of his pro career, Primeau has accrued 3 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .600. Primeau has seen 143 shots against him and has garnered 128 saves.

In their win over Montreal, the Maple Leafs PDO at even strength was 106 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 38.5%. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. They had a Fenwick percentage of 62.3% by accumulating a Fenwick of 48 and the Canadiens having earned a 29 Fenwick at even strength. The Maple Leafs scored 5 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they took. Toronto wrapped up this game with a 57.8% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Toronto played and it tells us that they played really well in this game.

This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs are sitting with 178 goals, 74 points, in addition to a points percentage of .698. They have permitted 138 goals to be scored by of a combination of 107 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have tallied 148 goals at even strength and 30 goals (18th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 146 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 20.55%. Toronto has attempted 1,656 shots (8th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.75%, while allowing the other team 1,483 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 77.21% on their oppositions 136 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 90.7%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Jack Campbell in goal. He has a tally of 2,150 stops out of the 2,342 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .918. Campbell has a lifetime record of 39-29-8 and has been in net for 84 contests. He has started in 76 games and has racked up 4,672 mins. Campbell's percentage of quality starts is 53.9% and he has made 41 quality starts in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.47 goals per game and he has surrendered 192 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+175)

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