Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/6/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, May 6, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN2

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+158) Maple Leafs (-180)

Jake Allen and the Montreal Canadiens (24-18-9) head to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (33-13-6). The Maple Leafs open this game at -180 while the Canadiens are coming in at +158. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Canadiens will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 3-2 win against the Maple Leafs in their last contest. Their offensive zone starts were at 36.4% and their PDO was 103.8 in this game. They earned 16 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 opportunities to win the face-off. Their Fenwick was 23 and the Fenwick against was 24, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 48.9%. The Corsi for the Canadiens came in at 34 and the Corsi against was at 44 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 43.6%. Montreal earned 8 penalty minutes for this matchup. Moreover, they had 4 attempts on the power play and scored 1 goal. The Canadiens had a middle of the road offensive outing in the victory. For the game, they netted 3 out of the 23 shots they tried.

The Canadiens have had 1,427 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .899. While playing at even strength, the Canadiens let the opposition score 109 goals while earning 118 on offense. Montreal Canadiens opponents have earned 160 power play opportunities (9th in professional hockey) and have notched 35 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have recorded 57 points and their points percentage is .559. Montreal has taken 1,614 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.1%. Pertaining to scoring goals, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 147 goals (17th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have given up 144. Montreal skates onto the rink with 141 power play opportunities and they have tallied 29 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 20.57%.

The man in goal for this game is Jake Allen. Over the course of his time in hockey, Allen is sitting with 159 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .539. His save percentage is at .912 in his 17,588 mins played. Allen has had 8,383 shots against him and has accrued 7,648 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 735 goals versus Allen in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.51. He has compiled an overall mark of 159-104-30 and he has gotten the start in 295 games. Allen has been involved in 314 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

In their loss to Montreal, the Maple Leafs PDO was 96 and their percentage of oZS was 63.6%. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 51.1% by tallying a Fenwick of 24 and the Canadiens having earned a 23 Fenwick at even strength. The Maple Leafs netted 2 goals out of the 29 shots on goal they were seeking. Toronto had a 56.4% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Toronto had and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game.

The Maple Leafs have racked up 143 goals at even strength and 30 goals (17th in hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has put up 1,621 shots (7th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.67%, while allowing the opposition 1,462 shots. This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs are sitting with 173 goals, 72 points, and a points percentage of .692. They have recorded 142 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 21.13%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.69% on their opponents 133 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 90.7%. They have allowed 136 goals to be scored by of a combination of 105 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you will find Jack Campbell in goal. His opposition is averaging 2.47 goals/game and he has yielded 190 goals overall. Campbell's rate of quality starts comes out to 54.7% and he has accumulated 41 quality starts in his career. He got the starting nod in 75 games and his ice time sits at 4,613 mins. Campbell is the owner of a career record of 38-29-8 and has participated in 83 contests. He has gathered 2,131 stops out of the 2,321 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .918.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-180) and under 5.5 goals

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