Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/31/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Monday, May 31, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: CNBC

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+175) Maple Leafs (-208)

Scotiabank Arena is the site where Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7) will take on the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11) on Monday in Game 7 of their series. The Maple Leafs open this game at -208 while the Canadiens are coming in at +175. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

The Canadiens went home feeling good about their game by earning a 3-2 victory in Game 6. The Corsi for the Canadiens came in at 59 and the Corsi against was 66 which means they had a Corsi rate of 47.2%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 42.4% and they had a PDO of 99.2 in this game. Montreal had 8 mins in the box for this matchup. The Canadiens offense showed they have some room for improvement in this victory. Their Fenwick came in at 37 and the Fenwick against was 49, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 43.0%. They amassed 29 face-off victories when at even strength and lost on 29 attempts to win the puck. They also had 4 chances on the power play and were able to score 2 goals. In the game, they netted 3 out of the 31 shots they looked to score on.

The Canadiens have had 1,579 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .896. When at even strength, the Canadiens have conceded 128 goals while having 129 on offense. Montreal Canadiens opponents have recorded 172 power play opportunities (7th in pro hockey) and have come away with 37 goals in those chances. For the current season, they have recorded 59 points and their points percentage is .527. Montreal has taken 1,746 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 9.1%. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Montreal Canadiens have notched 158 goals (17th in pro hockey) this year and have conceded 165. Montreal comes into the game with 151 power play chances and they have added 29 goals during those chances, earning them a percentage of 19.21%.

The player in the crease for this game is Carey Price. The opposition has been able to score 1,737 goals against Price in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.50. Price has played in 707 contests over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 41,707 minutes between the pipes. He has a mark of 360-257-79 and he has started in 695 games. For his professional hockey career, Price has 399 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .574. Price has had 20,911 shots against him and has garnered 19,174 saves.

In their Game 6 loss, the Maple Leafs PDO at even strength was 101 and their oZS percentage was 57.6%. They had 4 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal. Their Fenwick rate was 57.0% with a Fenwick of 49 and the Canadiens ending the game with a 37 Fenwick at even strength. The Maple Leafs recorded 2 goals of the 43 shots on goal they tried. Toronto earned a 52.8% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Toronto had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice.

This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned a total of 186 goals, 77 points, and a points percentage of .688. They have granted a total of 148 goals to be scored by of a combination of 117 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have earned 155 goals at even strength and 31 goals (19th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 155 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 20.00%. Toronto has tried 1,751 shots (6th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.62%, while allowing the opposition 1,558 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.47% on their oppositions 144 power play chances, and their save percentage is 90.5%.

Across the rink you are expected to see Jack Campbell in net. He has a tally of 2,191 stops out of 2,388 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .918. Campbell has accumulated a lifetime record of 40-30-8 and has been in net for 86 contests. He has started in 78 games and has racked up 4,791 minutes. Campbell's quality start rate comes in at 53.8% and he has qualified for 42 quality starts in his career. Teams are averaging 2.47 goals per contest and he has allowed 197 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+175)

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