Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/27/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, May 27, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+180) Maple Leafs (-227)

Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11) travel to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7) in Game 5 of their series. Toronto leads 3-1. The Maple Leafs open this game at -227 while the Canadiens are coming in at +180. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Canadiens will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4-0 loss against the Maple Leafs in Game 4. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 46.7% and they had a PDO of 88.5 in this one. They had a tally of 23 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 21 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 31 and the Fenwick against was 30, giving them a Fenwick rate of 50.8%. The Corsi for the Canadiens came in at 49 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 46 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 51.6%. Montreal garnered 8 penalty minutes for this game. In addition, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice but didn't get a goal. The Canadiens didn't have their best offensive outing in this defeat. For the game, they couldn't finish any of the 32 shots they put on net.

Montreal Canadiens opponents have earned 172 power play tries (7th in the league) and have tallied 37 goals in those chances. The Canadiens have had 1,579 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .896. Montreal has taken 1,746 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.1%. When playing at even strength, the Canadiens let the opposition score 128 goals while earning 129 of their own. Montreal has tallied 151 power play chances and they have notched 29 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 19.21%. For the current season, they have accumulated 59 points and their points percentage is sitting at .527. With respect to their scoring, the Montreal Canadiens have tallied 158 goals (17th in pro hockey) on the campaign and have conceded 165.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Carey Price. In his career, Price has earned 399 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .574. His save percentage currently is at .917 in his 41,707 mins between the pipes. Price has had 20,911 shot attempts against him and has accrued 19,174 saves. Opponents have racked up 1,737 goals against Price in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.50. He has accumulated an overall record of 360-257-79 and got the start in 695 games. Price has participated in 707 games throughout his professional hockey career.

In their Game 4 win, Toronto wound up with a 48.4% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 49.2% by amassing a Fenwick of 30 and the Canadiens finishing with a 31 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO at even strength was 112 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 53.3%. The Maple Leafs netted 4 goals of the 28 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play opportunities in this contest and recorded 1 out of those attempts.

Toronto has taken 1,751 shots (6th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.62%, while allowing their opponents 1,558 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 78.47% on the other teams 144 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.5%. They have a total of 155 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 20.00%. The Maple Leafs have racked up 155 goals at even strength and 31 goals (19th in hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 148 goals to be scored by way of 117 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 186 goals, 77 points, in addition to a points percentage of .688.

On the other side of the ice you will find Jack Campbell defending the goal. Campbell has accrued a lifetime mark of 40-30-8 and has been in goal for 86 games. Campbell's rate of quality starts comes out to 53.8% and he has 42 quality starting assignments in his career. He is sitting with 2,191 stops out of the 2,388 shots tried, giving him a save % of .918. His opposition is averaging 2.47 goals per game and he has given up 197 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 78 contests and has played for a total of 4,791 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+180)

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