Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 10/13/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Wednesday, October 13, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+160) Maple Leafs (-185)

Scotiabank Arena is the venue where Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7) will play the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Canadiens priced at +160 and the Maple Leafs are at -185. The O/U has been set at 5.5.

The Canadiens had a rough game after their 1-0 defeat to the Lightning their last time out. The Corsi for the Canadiens sat at 38 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 38 which means they had a Corsi rate of 50.0%. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 23.0% and they had a PDO of 95.5 for this game. Montreal accounted for 8 penalty minutes for this game. The Canadiens could have played much better offensively in this defeat. Their Fenwick was 29 and the Fenwick against was 30, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 49.2%. They compiled 24 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 21 attempts to gain puck control. They also had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. For the matchup, they took the loss without having netted any of the 22 shots they put on net.

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The Canadiens had 1,579 shots tried against them and held a save percentage of .896. When playing at even strength, the Canadiens conceded 128 goals while getting 129. Montreal Canadiens opposition had 172 power play opportunities (8th in pro hockey) and scored 37 goals in those attempts. For the previous campaign, they scored 59 points and their points percentage finished at .527. Montreal took 1,746 shots and were the owners of a shot percentage of 9.1%. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Montreal Canadiens accumulated 158 goals (17th in pro hockey) over the course of last season and allowed 165. Montreal accounted for 151 power play opportunities and scored 29 goals out of those chances, giving them a percentage of 19.21%.

The man in net for this game is Jake Allen. Over the course of his career, Allen has 12 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .444. He has a save percentage of .907 in his 1,703 mins in the crease. Allen has seen 817 shots against him and has gathered 741 saves. Opponents have been able to score 76 goals against Allen in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.68. He has accumulated an overall mark of 11-12-5 and he started in 27 games. Allen has participated in 29 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

In their last game, Toronto faced off against the Canadiens in a game where the Maple Leafs went home in defeat by a final score of 3-1. Their PDO at even strength was 95 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 63.6%. They had 2 power play opportunities in this one but didn't put one in the back of the net. Their Fenwick rate came in at 52.3% by earning a Fenwick of 34 and the Canadiens having notched a 31 Fenwick at even strength. The Maple Leafs recorded 1 goal out of the 31 shots on goal they attempted. Toronto had a 54.1% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Toronto had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all.

Toronto took 1,751 shots (6th in the league) and earned a shooting percentage of 10.62%, while allowing the opposition 1,558 shots. They had a penalty kill rate of 78.47% on the other team's 144 power play opportunities, and their save percentage came in at 90.5%. They earned 155 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 20.00%. The Maple Leafs earned 155 goals at even strength and 31 goals (19th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They allowed 148 goals to be scored by way of 117 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs finished the season with 186 goals, 77 points, and a points percentage of .688.

Across the rink you will find Jack Campbell patrolling the crease. The opposition is averaging 2.15 goals per game and he has yielded 46 goals in total. Campbell's quality start rate sits at 59.1% and he has accumulated 13 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has started in 22 contests and has been on the ice for 1,284 minutes. Campbell is the owner of a lifetime record of 17-3-2 and has been in net for 22 games. He has compiled 539 stops out of the 585 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .921.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-185)

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