Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 6/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, June 28, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+175) Lightning (-208)

Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11) are headed to Amalie Arena on Monday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The Lightning open this game at -208 while the Canadiens are priced at +175. The O/U has been set at 5.5.

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The Canadiens were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 victory over the Golden Knights to win their series 4-2. The Corsi for the Canadiens was 41 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 59 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 41.0%. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 39.5% and their PDO was 102.1 for this one. Montreal accrued 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Canadiens had a middle of the road offensive outing in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 29 and the Fenwick against was 47, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 38.2%. They accrued 28 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 32 opportunities to win the puck. They also had 3 chances on the power play and scored 1 goal. In the game, they scored on 3 of the 32 shots they tried.

When talking about their scoring capabilities, the Montreal Canadiens have racked up 158 goals (17th in the league) so far this season and have surrendered 165. For the current season, they have recorded 59 points and their points % is .527. Montreal skates onto the rink with 151 power play opportunities and they have scored 29 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 19.21%. While at even strength, the Canadiens have allowed the opponent to score 128 goals while earning 129 on the offensive side of the ice. Montreal has tried 1,746 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.1%. The Canadiens have had 1,579 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .896. Montreal Canadiens opponents have totaled 172 power play opportunities (8th in professional hockey) and have come away with 37 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Carey Price. Opponents have racked up 1,737 goals versus Price in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.50. Price has participated in 707 games over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently is at .917 for his 41,707 minutes played. He has earned a mark of Career and he started in 695 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Price has 399 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .574. Price has had 20,911 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 19,174 saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Tampa Bay beat the Islanders 1-0 in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this contest but didn't score a goal. The Lightning recorded 1 goal of the 31 shots on goal they took. They had a PDO at even strength of 100 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 64.3%. Tampa Bay wrapped up this game with a 51.1% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 60.3% by notching a Fenwick of 38 and the Islanders having earned a 25 Fenwick.

The Lightning have scored 140 goals at even strength and 40 goals (4th in the league) while having a power play advantage. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,692 shots (9th in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 10.64%, while allowing the other team 1,583 shots. Over the course of the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 180 goals, 75 points, in addition to a points percentage of .670. They have earned 180 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 22.22%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 84.15% on their opponents 183 chances on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.8%. They have granted a total of 145 goals to be scored by of a combination of 116 goals at even strength and 29 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. He has accrued 8,435 saves out of 9,171 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .920. Vasilevskiy has compiled a lifetime record of Career and has participated in 302 games. He has made the start in 292 games and has been on the ice for 17,629 minutes. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts comes out to 56.2% and he has earned 164 quality starts in his professional career. His opposition is averaging 2.51 goals/game and he has allowed 736 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+175)

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