Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 5/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: RDS

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (-168) Senators (+148)

Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (24-18-9) are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday where they'll meet the Ottawa Senators (20-27-5). The Canadiens open this game at -168 while the Senators are coming in at +148. The O/U is set at 6.

The Canadiens came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 victory against the Maple Leafs in their last outing. The Canadiens had a middle of the road offensive performance in this win. In the game, they tallied a score on 3 of the 23 shots they attempted. In addition, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice and were able to score 1 goal. Montreal had 8 mins in the box for this contest. The Corsi for the Canadiens came in at 34 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 44 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 43.6%. Their Fenwick was 23 and the Fenwick Against sat at 24, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 48.9%. They compiled 16 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to gain puck control. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 36.4% and they had a PDO of 103.8 for this game.

The Canadiens have had 1,427 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .899. While playing at even strength, the Canadiens have conceded 109 goals while scoring 118 themselves. Montreal Canadiens opponents have earned 160 power play tries (9th in the league) and have come away with 35 goals in those chances. For the current season, the have a total of 57 points and their points percentage sits at .559. Montreal has taken 1,614 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.1%. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Montreal Canadiens have accumulated 147 goals (16th in pro hockey) so far this season and have allowed 144. Montreal has 141 power play chances and they have added 29 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 20.57%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Carey Price. Price has taken the ice for 707 matchups throughout his pro hockey career. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 360-257-79 and he has gotten the start in 695 games. Opponents have tallied 1,737 goals versus Price in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.50. Price has seen 20,911 shots against him and has recorded 19,174 saves. His save percentage is at .917 in his 41,707 mins on the ice. During his career on the ice, Price has compiled 399 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .574.

Their last time out, Ottawa faced the Jets in a matchup where the Senators earned a victory by a final of 2-1. Their PDO was 102 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 43.4%. They had 3 power play attempts in this matchup but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick percentage was 35.0% by earning a Fenwick of 14 and the Jets ending the game with a 26 Fenwick at even strength. The Senators netted 2 goals out of the 18 shots on goal they tried. Ottawa earned a 37.7% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Ottawa had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game.

So far this season, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 141 goals, 45 points, and a points percentage of .433. They have permitted 177 goals to be scored by of a combination of 143 goals at even strength and 34 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Senators have scored 115 goals at even strength and 26 goals (24th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 163 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 15.95%. Ottawa has tried 1,558 shots (12th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.05%, while allowing the opposition 1,670 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 79.01% on their oppositions 162 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 89.4%.

Across the rink you will find Marcus Hogberg defending the goal. He has racked up 1,047 saves out of 1,171 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .894. Hogberg has accumulated a career record of 9-17-9 and has participated in 42 contests. He has made the start in 35 games and his ice time sits at 2,193 minutes. Hogberg's quality start percentage is 40.0% and he has 14 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. Opponents are averaging 3.39 goals per contest and he has allowed 124 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (-168)

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