Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 2/6/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, February 6, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN2

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (-250) Senators (+188)

Canadian Tire Centre is the site where Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (2-8-1) will play the Montreal Canadiens (7-2-2) on Saturday. The Senators open this contest at +188 while the Canadiens are priced at -250. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Canadiens will look for better times on the ice after their 3-2 loss to the Senators in their last outing. The Canadiens offense left a lot to be desired in the defeat. In the game, they netted 2 of the 38 shots they tried. They also had 4 power play chances but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Montreal earned 15 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Canadiens came in at 55 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 40 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 57.9%. Their Fenwick came in at 46 and the Fenwick Against sat at 30, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 60.5%. They garnered 19 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 24 opportunities to take control of the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 50.0% and their PDO rating was 93.0 for this game.

The Canadiens have had 313 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .907. At even strength, the Canadiens have conceded 18 goals while having 30 as an offensive unit. Montreal Canadiens opponents have tallied 48 power play tries (2nd in the league) and have earned 10 goals in those attempts. For the current season, they have accumulated 16 points and their points % is .727. Montreal has taken 382 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.0%. With regard to their scoring, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 46 goals (2nd in the league) for the season and have given up 29. Montreal has accumulated 42 power play opportunities and they have notched 9 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 21.43%.

The man in net for this game is Carey Price. For his professional hockey career, Price has accrued 389 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .575. His save percentage sits at .917 for his 40,655 minutes guarding the cage. Price has seen 20,450 shot attempts against him and has gathered 18,758 total saves. The opposition has notched 1,692 goals against Price in his professional hockey career and his goals against average is 2.50. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 352-251-76 and he has started in 677 games. Price has been involved in 689 games throughout his hockey career.

In their win over Montreal, Ottawa had 4 attempts on the power play in this outing and netted 1 out of those opportunities. The Senators recorded 3 goals out of the 22 shots on goal they took. Their PDO was 107 and their oZS percentage was 50.0%. Ottawa went home with a 42.1% Corsi rate. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Ottawa had and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 39.5% by tallying a Fenwick of 30 and the Canadiens finishing with a 46 Fenwick at even strength.

Ottawa has taken 335 shots (10th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.06%, while allowing their opponents 347 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 72.73% on the other teams 44 power play chances, and their save percentage is 8.1%. They have a total of 48 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 14.58%. The Senators have earned 20 goals at even strength and 7 goals (18th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 50 goals to be scored by way of 36 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Ottawa Senators have earned 27 goals, 5 points, in addition to a points percentage of .227.

Across the rink you are going to see Matt Murray in net. Murray is the owner of a career mark of 119-57-20 and has participated in 207 games. Murray's quality start rate comes out to 50.7% and he has 102 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has gathered 5,566 stops out of the 6,101 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .912. Teams are averaging 2.73 goals per contest and he has allowed 535 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 201 games and has been on the ice for 11,775 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (-250)

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