Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/15/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Thursday, April 15, 2021
Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL
TV: NBCSN
Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+133) Lightning (-147)
Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (28-12-2) host the Florida Panthers (27-12-4) at Amalie Arena on Thursday. The Lightning open this matchup at -147 while the Panthers are priced at +133. The total opens at 6.
The Panthers came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 victory against the Stars the last time they stepped on the ice. Their offensive zone starts came in at 53.8% and they had a PDO of 99.7 for this game. They had a tally of 27 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 40 opportunities to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 39 and the Fenwick against finished at 36, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 52.0%. The Corsi for the Panthers came in at 51 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 48 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 51.5%. Florida accumulated 10 minutes in the box in this game. In addition, they had 4 power play opportunities and were able to net 1 goal. The Panthers had an average offensive output in the win. For the outing, they converted 3 out of the 31 shots they looked to score on.
Florida Panthers opponents have tallied 131 power play tries (9th in pro hockey) and have tallied 26 goals in those attempts. The Panthers have had 1,307 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .912. Florida has taken 1,458 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.3%. At even strength, the Panthers have allowed the opponent to score 89 goals while notching 104 on offense. Florida has tallied 140 power play chances and they have notched 31 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 22.14%. For the current season, they have 58 points and their points percentage is .674. With regard to their scoring, the Florida Panthers have earned 135 goals (7th in hockey) for the year and have given up 115.
The man in goal for this game is Sergei Bobrovsky. Bobrovsky has participated in 531 games throughout his professional hockey career. He has accumulated a win-loss mark of 293-179-45 and he has gotten the start in 518 games. The opposition has notched 1,302 goals versus Bobrovsky in his professional career and his goals against rate is 2.55. Bobrovsky has seen 15,612 shot attempts taken against him and has amassed 14,310 total saves. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 30,630 mins between the pipes. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Bobrovsky has 294 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .568.
Their last time out, Tampa Bay squared up with the Predators in a game where the Lightning were on the wrong end of the score by a score of 7-2. Their PDO was 74 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 72.7%. They had 2 power play chances in this matchup and scored 1 out of those chances. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 45.6% by tallying a Fenwick of 26 and the Predators ending the game with a 31 Fenwick at even strength. The Lightning earned 2 goals of the 23 shots on goal they took. Tampa Bay wound up with a 56.0% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Tampa Bay played and we'd say it was a below average outing in all.
Tampa Bay has tried 1,278 shots (11th in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.11%, while allowing the other team 1,187 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 82.73% on their opponents 139 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.0%. They have earned 135 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 25.19%. The Lightning have racked up 108 goals at even strength and 34 goals (4th in the league) while on the power play. They have allowed 107 goals to be scored by way of 83 goals at even strength and 24 goals while they were shorthanded. This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 142 goals, 58 points, as well as a points percentage of .690.
On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy defending the net. Vasilevskiy has earned a lifetime record of 184-79-19 and has been in net for 292 contests. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate comes out to 56.4% and he has accumulated 159 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has recorded 8,164 saves out of 8,871 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .920. The opposition is averaging 2.49 goals per game and he has yielded 707 goals altogether. He has started in 282 games and has played 17,028 mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Florida (+133)
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Additional Resources:
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter
Florida Panthers - Twitter