Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/21/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Sunday, March 21, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+128) Lightning (-148)

Sergei Bobrovsky and the Florida Panthers (19-6-4) are headed to Amalie Arena on Sunday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (21-6-2). The Panthers open this contest at +128 while the Lightning are priced at -148. The total is set at 6.5.

The Panthers will look for better times on the ice after their 2-1 defeat to the Predators in their previous outing. The Corsi for the Panthers came in at 61 and the Corsi against was 38 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 61.6%. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 54.8% and they had a PDO of 94.4 for this one. Florida garnered 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Panthers didn't have their best offensive outing in the defeat. Their Fenwick came in at 50 and the Fenwick Against sat at 30, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 62.5%. They recorded 25 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 opportunities to take control of the puck. Additionally, they had 3 power play tries but weren't able to score. For the game, they scored on 1 out of the 41 shots they attempted.

In the matter of scoring goals, the Florida Panthers have racked up 99 goals (5th in pro hockey) this season and have allowed 81. For the current season, they have recorded 42 points and their points percentage sits at .724. Florida comes into the game with 88 power play opportunities and they have notched 23 goals out of those chances, garnering them a rate of 26.14%. While playing at even strength, the Panthers let the opposition score 64 goals while having 76 of their own. Florida has taken 995 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.0%. The Panthers have had 896 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .910. Florida Panthers opponents have amassed 87 power play opportunities (21st in professional hockey) and have notched 17 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Sergei Bobrovsky. Bobrovsky has been involved in 524 games throughout his hockey career. He has earned a record of 290-175-45 and he started in 511 games. The opposition has racked up 1,283 goals against Bobrovsky in his career and his goals against rate is 2.55. Bobrovsky has had 15,399 shot attempts taken against him and has garnered 14,116 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 30,212 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his career, Bobrovsky has compiled 289 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .566.

In their last contest, Tampa Bay faced off against the Blackhawks in a game where the Lightning got the victory by a score of 4-2. They had a PDO of 114 and they had an oZS percentage of 53.8%. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing and recorded 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick percentage was 56.0% by accumulating a Fenwick of 28 and the Blackhawks having a 22 Fenwick at even strength. The Lightning scored 4 goals out of the 23 shots on goal they tried. Tampa Bay earned a 56.3% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Tampa Bay played and it was an excellent showing for this outing.

Tampa Bay has attempted 896 shots (14th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.72%, while allowing the other team 799 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 83.84% on the other teams 99 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 91.5%. They have a total of 97 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 28.87%. The Lightning have accumulated 77 goals at even strength and 28 goals (3rd in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 68 goals to be scored by of a combination of 52 goals at even strength and 16 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning are sitting with 105 goals, 44 points, in addition to a points percentage of .759.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. He has recorded 7,890 stops out of the 8,577 shots tried, giving him a rate of .920. Vasilevskiy holds a lifetime mark of 178-76-19 and has participated in 283 contests. He got the starting nod in 273 games and has been on the ice for 16,495 minutes. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts sits at 56.4% and he has 154 quality starts in his career. Opponents are averaging 2.50 goals per contest and he has surrendered 687 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-148)

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