Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 3/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars
Date: Sunday, March 28, 2021
Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX
TV: Fox Sports Southwest
Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (-105) Stars (-115)
Chris Driedger and the Florida Panthers (20-9-4) travel to American Airlines Center on Sunday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (11-11-8). The Stars open this matchup at -115 while the Panthers are priced at -105. The over/under is set at 5.5.
The Panthers had a rough game after their 3-0 defeat to the Blackhawks the last time they stepped on the ice. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 63.2% and their PDO rating was 86.7 for this game. They accumulated 19 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 17 opportunities to gain puck control. Their Fenwick came in at 34 and the Fenwick against was 17, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 66.7%. The Corsi for the Panthers was 50 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 24 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 67.6%. Florida had 17 penalty minutes for this contest. In addition, they had 6 power play chances but didn't convert them into a score. The Panthers offense left a lot to be desired in this defeat. For the matchup, they weren't able to convert any of the 41 shots they tried.
Florida Panthers opponents have 101 power play tries (16th in pro hockey) and have earned 20 goals in those attempts. The Panthers have had 994 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Florida has taken 1,152 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.2%. When at even strength, the Panthers let the opposition score 72 goals while scoring 80 of their own. Florida comes into tonight with 106 power play chances and they have notched 26 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 24.53%. For the current season, they have recorded 44 points and their points percentage is .667. When it comes to their scoring, the Florida Panthers have notched 106 goals (7th in the league) so far this season and have allowed 92.
The player between the pipes for this game is Chris Driedger. In his career, Driedger has accrued 18 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .720. His save percentage sits at .928 for his 1,580 mins guarding the cage. Driedger has had 806 shots taken against him and has recorded 748 saves. Opponents have tallied 58 goals versus Driedger in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.20. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 15-7-3 and he has gotten the start in 25 games. Driedger has participated in 29 contests throughout his NHL career.
In their last contest, Dallas faced off against the Lightning in an outing where the Stars notched a victory by a mark of 4-3. They had 3 power play attempts in this contest and notched 1 out of those attempts. The Stars scored 4 goals of the 41 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO was 96 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 58.1%. Dallas had a 57.5% Corsi rate. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Dallas had and it was a good performance overall. Their Fenwick rate was 59.3% by way of having a Fenwick of 48 and the Lightning earning a 33 Fenwick.
Dallas has put up 880 shots (31st in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 9.55%, while allowing the opposition 809 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 77.17% on their opponents 92 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 90.7%. They have recorded 101 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 23.76%. The Stars are sitting with 60 goals at even strength and 24 goals (11th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 75 goals to be scored by of a combination of 54 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the year, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 84 goals, 30 points, as well as a points percentage of .500.
For the opposition you will find Jake Oettinger in net. Opponents are averaging 2.28 goals/game and he has allowed 33 goals in total. Oettinger's quality start rate comes out to 46.2% and he has qualified for 6 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has made the start in 13 games and has played for a total of 867 mins. Oettinger has compiled a career record of 5-2-6 and has been in goal for 16 games. He has tallied 340 stops out of the 373 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .912.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (-115)
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Additional Resources:
Dallas Stars - Twitter
Florida Panthers - Twitter